**Avengers: Doomsday** holds the strongest market-implied odds at 63.5% for the biggest 2026 opening week due to its unprecedented presales momentum—already exceeding $50 million domestically months ahead of its December 18 release—and record trailer engagement that signals event-level audience demand. Traders see the MCU's full ensemble return, including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, building on the franchise's historical dominance in opening weekends. **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s 36.5% reflects its realized $360 million domestic debut in July, which set a high bar for the year and reinforced MCU momentum, though its earlier timing caps further upside. The negligible shares for **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** and **Dune: Messiah** stem from more modest franchise expectations and the latter's direct competition with Doomsday on the same weekend. Upcoming holiday tracking and final presale updates remain key swing factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$171,644 Обс.
$171,644 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$171,644 Обс.
$171,644 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$75,995 Обс.
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$62,713 Обс.
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Обс.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** holds the strongest market-implied odds at 63.5% for the biggest 2026 opening week due to its unprecedented presales momentum—already exceeding $50 million domestically months ahead of its December 18 release—and record trailer engagement that signals event-level audience demand. Traders see the MCU's full ensemble return, including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, building on the franchise's historical dominance in opening weekends. **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s 36.5% reflects its realized $360 million domestic debut in July, which set a high bar for the year and reinforced MCU momentum, though its earlier timing caps further upside. The negligible shares for **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** and **Dune: Messiah** stem from more modest franchise expectations and the latter's direct competition with Doomsday on the same weekend. Upcoming holiday tracking and final presale updates remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$171,644Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** holds the strongest market-implied odds at 63.5% for the biggest 2026 opening week due to its unprecedented presales momentum—already exceeding $50 million domestically months ahead of its December 18 release—and record trailer engagement that signals event-level audience demand. Traders see the MCU's full ensemble return, including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, building on the franchise's historical dominance in opening weekends. **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s 36.5% reflects its realized $360 million domestic debut in July, which set a high bar for the year and reinforced MCU momentum, though its earlier timing caps further upside. The negligible shares for **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** and **Dune: Messiah** stem from more modest franchise expectations and the latter's direct competition with Doomsday on the same weekend. Upcoming holiday tracking and final presale updates remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$171,644Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday** holds the strongest market-implied odds at 63.5% for the biggest 2026 opening week due to its unprecedented presales momentum—already exceeding $50 million domestically months ahead of its December 18 release—and record trailer engagement that signals event-level audience demand. Traders see the MCU's full ensemble return, including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, building on the franchise's historical dominance in opening weekends. **Spider-Man: Brand New Day**'s 36.5% reflects its realized $360 million domestic debut in July, which set a high bar for the year and reinforced MCU momentum, though its earlier timing caps further upside. The negligible shares for **The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping** and **Dune: Messiah** stem from more modest franchise expectations and the latter's direct competition with Doomsday on the same weekend. Upcoming holiday tracking and final presale updates remain key swing factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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