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Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

icon for Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

No Replacement 96.6%

Other 1.3%

Italy 1.1%

UAE <1%

Polymarket

$59,283 Обс.

No Replacement 96.6%

Other 1.3%

Italy 1.1%

UAE <1%

Polymarket

$59,283 Обс.

icon for No Replacement

No Replacement

$18,105 Обс.

97%

icon for Other

Other

$4,982 Обс.

1%

icon for Italy

Italy

$28,168 Обс.

1%

icon for UAE

UAE

$5,257 Обс.

1%

icon for Bolivia

Bolivia

$2,771 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, with no plans for replacement despite a U.S. envoy's suggestion to substitute Italy. Italian officials quickly rejected the idea as inappropriate and against merit-based qualification, while Iran has advanced logistical preparations including an approved base camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa constraints. This official stance and ongoing team arrangements underpin the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. A withdrawal by Iran due to unresolved political or travel barriers remains a low-probability scenario that could open a spot for another AFC side such as the UAE.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$59,283
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, with no plans for replacement despite a U.S. envoy's suggestion to substitute Italy. Italian officials quickly rejected the idea as inappropriate and against merit-based qualification, while Iran has advanced logistical preparations including an approved base camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa constraints. This official stance and ongoing team arrangements underpin the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. A withdrawal by Iran due to unresolved political or travel barriers remains a low-probability scenario that could open a spot for another AFC side such as the UAE.

This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$59,283
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other” If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «No Replacement» з 97%, далі «Other» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?» згенерував $59.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?» — «No Replacement» з 97%. Наступний — «Other» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.