FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, with no plans for replacement despite a U.S. envoy's suggestion to substitute Italy. Italian officials quickly rejected the idea as inappropriate and against merit-based qualification, while Iran has advanced logistical preparations including an approved base camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa constraints. This official stance and ongoing team arrangements underpin the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. A withdrawal by Iran due to unresolved political or travel barriers remains a low-probability scenario that could open a spot for another AFC side such as the UAE.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich team will replace Iran at World Cup?
No Replacement 96.6%
Other 1.3%
Italy 1.1%
UAE <1%
$59,283 Обс.
$59,283 Обс.

No Replacement
97%

Other
1%

Italy
1%

UAE
1%

Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.6%
Other 1.3%
Italy 1.1%
UAE <1%
$59,283 Обс.
$59,283 Обс.

No Replacement
97%

Other
1%

Italy
1%

UAE
1%

Bolivia
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, with no plans for replacement despite a U.S. envoy's suggestion to substitute Italy. Italian officials quickly rejected the idea as inappropriate and against merit-based qualification, while Iran has advanced logistical preparations including an approved base camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, to address visa constraints. This official stance and ongoing team arrangements underpin the overwhelming market consensus for no replacement. A withdrawal by Iran due to unresolved political or travel barriers remains a low-probability scenario that could open a spot for another AFC side such as the UAE.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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