Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by a targeted October Nasdaq debut and public prospectus expected shortly after Labor Day, has anchored the 95% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Reports indicate OpenAI, which filed a week later, is now leaning toward a 2027 listing to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid tech-market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments, with its leadership reportedly expecting the rival to list first. This timeline gap reflects Anthropic's faster progress through SEC review and banker preparations versus OpenAI's internal caution on readiness and pricing. While strong consensus exists, shifts in market conditions, regulatory scrutiny of AI firms, or sudden changes in either company's strategy could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnthropic
95% шанс
$330,002 Обс.
$330,002 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
95% шанс
$330,002 Обс.
$330,002 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by a targeted October Nasdaq debut and public prospectus expected shortly after Labor Day, has anchored the 95% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Reports indicate OpenAI, which filed a week later, is now leaning toward a 2027 listing to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid tech-market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments, with its leadership reportedly expecting the rival to list first. This timeline gap reflects Anthropic's faster progress through SEC review and banker preparations versus OpenAI's internal caution on readiness and pricing. While strong consensus exists, shifts in market conditions, regulatory scrutiny of AI firms, or sudden changes in either company's strategy could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$330,002Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by a targeted October Nasdaq debut and public prospectus expected shortly after Labor Day, has anchored the 95% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Reports indicate OpenAI, which filed a week later, is now leaning toward a 2027 listing to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid tech-market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments, with its leadership reportedly expecting the rival to list first. This timeline gap reflects Anthropic's faster progress through SEC review and banker preparations versus OpenAI's internal caution on readiness and pricing. While strong consensus exists, shifts in market conditions, regulatory scrutiny of AI firms, or sudden changes in either company's strategy could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$330,002Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by a targeted October Nasdaq debut and public prospectus expected shortly after Labor Day, has anchored the 95% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Reports indicate OpenAI, which filed a week later, is now leaning toward a 2027 listing to pursue a $1 trillion valuation amid tech-market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments, with its leadership reportedly expecting the rival to list first. This timeline gap reflects Anthropic's faster progress through SEC review and banker preparations versus OpenAI's internal caution on readiness and pricing. While strong consensus exists, shifts in market conditions, regulatory scrutiny of AI firms, or sudden changes in either company's strategy could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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