Elevated geopolitical tensions, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, attacks on Saudi pipelines, and refinery outages tied to U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, have driven WTI crude to approximately $101 per barrel as of September 17, 2026. This supply shock has pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44, up 16 cents week-over-week and more than $1.20 year-over-year, with state-level prices ranging from roughly $3.75–$3.92 in low-cost markets like Indiana to over $6 in California. Regional differences stem from taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, while recent EIA data show rising demand supporting higher crack spreads. Traders monitoring this market should watch upcoming crude inventory reports, conflict developments, and any seasonal blend shifts that could influence near-term price floors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
September 20
8%
September 30
13%
October 31
18%
$208 Обс.
September 20
$0 Обс.
8%
September 30
$0 Обс.
13%
October 31
$208 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated geopolitical tensions, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, attacks on Saudi pipelines, and refinery outages tied to U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, have driven WTI crude to approximately $101 per barrel as of September 17, 2026. This supply shock has pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44, up 16 cents week-over-week and more than $1.20 year-over-year, with state-level prices ranging from roughly $3.75–$3.92 in low-cost markets like Indiana to over $6 in California. Regional differences stem from taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, while recent EIA data show rising demand supporting higher crack spreads. Traders monitoring this market should watch upcoming crude inventory reports, conflict developments, and any seasonal blend shifts that could influence near-term price floors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$208Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated geopolitical tensions, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, attacks on Saudi pipelines, and refinery outages tied to U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, have driven WTI crude to approximately $101 per barrel as of September 17, 2026. This supply shock has pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44, up 16 cents week-over-week and more than $1.20 year-over-year, with state-level prices ranging from roughly $3.75–$3.92 in low-cost markets like Indiana to over $6 in California. Regional differences stem from taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, while recent EIA data show rising demand supporting higher crack spreads. Traders monitoring this market should watch upcoming crude inventory reports, conflict developments, and any seasonal blend shifts that could influence near-term price floors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Обсяг
$208Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Elevated geopolitical tensions, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, attacks on Saudi pipelines, and refinery outages tied to U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, have driven WTI crude to approximately $101 per barrel as of September 17, 2026. This supply shock has pushed the national regular gasoline average to $4.44, up 16 cents week-over-week and more than $1.20 year-over-year, with state-level prices ranging from roughly $3.75–$3.92 in low-cost markets like Indiana to over $6 in California. Regional differences stem from taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, while recent EIA data show rising demand supporting higher crack spreads. Traders monitoring this market should watch upcoming crude inventory reports, conflict developments, and any seasonal blend shifts that could influence near-term price floors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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