Traders assign overwhelming odds against another escape by Little Joe the gorilla because the scheduled transfer from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo to Pittsburgh has proceeded under tight security protocols with no reported incidents since the May announcement. The 2003 breakout remains his only known incident, and modern zoo standards—including reinforced enclosures, constant monitoring, and veterinary handling rules explicitly excluded from resolution—make a repeat event before the July 31 cutoff extremely remote. Market consensus reflects the absence of any credible reports or social-media buzz suggesting otherwise. A narrow upset window still exists if an unforeseen breach occurs during final transport or enclosure setup on the deadline day itself, though historical precedent and operational safeguards render that outcome highly improbable.