Trader consensus reflects a closely contested outlook on NBA draft lottery reform, with "Yes" at 53% amid Commissioner Adam Silver's recent vows to overhaul the system "full stop" to combat persistent tanking by bottom feeders like the Wizards and Nets. In late March, the league presented three anti-tanking proposals to the Board of Governors—including expanding the lottery to 18 teams with equal 8% odds for the bottom 10 at No. 1 pick, a two-year record metric for 22 entrants, and a pick-10 floor for the worst five—gaining momentum ahead of the May 28 vote. Silver's enthusiastic backing of punishing the absolute worst records more harshly balances optimism against potential owner pushback or tweaks, with approval likely tipping odds sharply higher or rejection swinging them to "No." The 2026 lottery on May 10 proceeds under current rules regardless.