Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary at 54.4% in trader consensus due to his strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, consistent polling leads of 50-69 points among likely primary voters, and key endorsements including from the Club for Growth and Donald Trump. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail at 5.0% and 2.9% after Feely switched to the AZ-01 race and Grantham withdrew, leaving Daniel Keenan as the remaining ballot opponent. Late-May allegations of sexual impropriety and perjury against Lamb have introduced uncertainty ahead of the July 21 primary, though his fundraising advantage and district familiarity continue to anchor current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Lamb 59.1%
Jay Feely 5.0%
Travis Grantham 2.6%
$50,426 KL.
$50,426 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
Mark Lamb
54%
Jay Feely
5%
Travis Grantham
3%
Mark Lamb 59.1%
Jay Feely 5.0%
Travis Grantham 2.6%
$50,426 KL.
$50,426 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
Mark Lamb
$5,784 KL.
54%
Jay Feely
$42,968 KL.
5%
Travis Grantham
$1,673 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary at 54.4% in trader consensus due to his strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, consistent polling leads of 50-69 points among likely primary voters, and key endorsements including from the Club for Growth and Donald Trump. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail at 5.0% and 2.9% after Feely switched to the AZ-01 race and Grantham withdrew, leaving Daniel Keenan as the remaining ballot opponent. Late-May allegations of sexual impropriety and perjury against Lamb have introduced uncertainty ahead of the July 21 primary, though his fundraising advantage and district familiarity continue to anchor current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$50,426Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary at 54.4% in trader consensus due to his strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, consistent polling leads of 50-69 points among likely primary voters, and key endorsements including from the Club for Growth and Donald Trump. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail at 5.0% and 2.9% after Feely switched to the AZ-01 race and Grantham withdrew, leaving Daniel Keenan as the remaining ballot opponent. Late-May allegations of sexual impropriety and perjury against Lamb have introduced uncertainty ahead of the July 21 primary, though his fundraising advantage and district familiarity continue to anchor current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$50,426Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary at 54.4% in trader consensus due to his strong name recognition as former Pinal County sheriff, consistent polling leads of 50-69 points among likely primary voters, and key endorsements including from the Club for Growth and Donald Trump. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham trail at 5.0% and 2.9% after Feely switched to the AZ-01 race and Grantham withdrew, leaving Daniel Keenan as the remaining ballot opponent. Late-May allegations of sexual impropriety and perjury against Lamb have introduced uncertainty ahead of the July 21 primary, though his fundraising advantage and district familiarity continue to anchor current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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