Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Người chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 26.9%
Lamine Yamal 16%
Ousmane Dembélé 11.3%
Vitinha 9.0%
$4,130,554 KL.
$4,130,554 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
27%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
11%
Vitinha
9%
Michael Olise
9%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Raphinha
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 26.9%
Lamine Yamal 16%
Ousmane Dembélé 11.3%
Vitinha 9.0%
$4,130,554 KL.
$4,130,554 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$734,353 KL.
27%
Lamine Yamal
$95,935 KL.
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
$543,153 KL.
11%
Vitinha
$71,119 KL.
9%
Michael Olise
$103,506 KL.
9%
Kylian Mbappé
$154,739 KL.
9%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$75,458 KL.
5%
Declan Rice
$78,081 KL.
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$83,757 KL.
3%
Bruno Fernandes
$55,180 KL.
3%
Vinícius Júnior
$481,236 KL.
2%
Erling Haaland
$276,731 KL.
2%
Lautaro Martinez
$50,990 KL.
1%
Pedri
$290,660 KL.
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$36,245 KL.
1%
Julian Alvarez
$43,422 KL.
1%
Desire Doue
$40,536 KL.
1%
Raphinha
$44,807 KL.
1%
Luis Diaz
$45,944 KL.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$267,181 KL.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$329,108 KL.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$99,110 KL.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$44,492 KL.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$84,853 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,130,554Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Khối lượng
$4,130,554Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d’Or at 26.9% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals in 51 matches to claim the Bundesliga Golden Shoe, another league title, and the DFB-Pokal. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his continued elite output at Barcelona and status as a generational talent, while reigning winner Ousmane Dembélé (11.3%) benefits from PSG consistency. Michael Olise and Vitinha follow on strong club campaigns. With the World Cup looming as the decisive stage, Kane’s domestic dominance gives him the edge in current pricing, though standout tournament performances could rapidly shift the wide-open field among these leaders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp