Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 54.1% implied probability due to his record 73-goal season across club and country, including 61 strikes that powered Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double plus a Champions League semifinal run. England’s third-place World Cup finish, where he added six more goals as captain, strengthened his case among voters prioritizing consistent output and leadership. Lamine Yamal sits second at 24.2% after Barcelona’s La Liga title and Spain’s World Cup triumph, with the 19-year-old citing his trophy haul and individual impact despite a late-season injury. Kylian Mbappé trails at 11.3% on the back of leading goal tallies in La Liga, the Champions League, and the World Cup for Real Madrid, though the club’s lack of silverware tempers his position. Rodri’s 5.5% reflects his midfield role in Spain’s World Cup success as the 2024 winner. The October 26 ceremony remains open to shifts based on final voter emphasis on major honors versus raw scoring volume.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 54.2%
Lamine Yamal 22.9%
Kylian Mbappé 11.3%
Rodri 6%
$35,741,792 KL.
$35,741,792 KL.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
23%
Kylian Mbappé
11%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Harry Kane 54.2%
Lamine Yamal 22.9%
Kylian Mbappé 11.3%
Rodri 6%
$35,741,792 KL.
$35,741,792 KL.
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
23%
Kylian Mbappé
11%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 54.1% implied probability due to his record 73-goal season across club and country, including 61 strikes that powered Bayern Munich to the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double plus a Champions League semifinal run. England’s third-place World Cup finish, where he added six more goals as captain, strengthened his case among voters prioritizing consistent output and leadership. Lamine Yamal sits second at 24.2% after Barcelona’s La Liga title and Spain’s World Cup triumph, with the 19-year-old citing his trophy haul and individual impact despite a late-season injury. Kylian Mbappé trails at 11.3% on the back of leading goal tallies in La Liga, the Champions League, and the World Cup for Real Madrid, though the club’s lack of silverware tempers his position. Rodri’s 5.5% reflects his midfield role in Spain’s World Cup success as the 2024 winner. The October 26 ceremony remains open to shifts based on final voter emphasis on major honors versus raw scoring volume.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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