Recent polling ahead of Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 23 percent, with AfD posting the largest gains from prior results. This narrow spread among the four parties leaves third place highly sensitive to final turnout patterns, preference flows between left-leaning lists, and AfD mobilization in key districts. Trader prices assign AfD the clearest edge for third while keeping CDU, Grüne, and Linke in contention, reflecting the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that modest polling shifts or last-week developments could reorder the ranking before votes are counted.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAfD 36%
CDU 22%
Grüne 22%
Linke 19%
$34,280 KL.
$34,280 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
36%
CDU
22%
Grüne
22%
Linke
19%
SPD
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 36%
CDU 22%
Grüne 22%
Linke 19%
$34,280 KL.
$34,280 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$7,039 KL.
36%
CDU
$11,038 KL.
22%
Grüne
$4,680 KL.
22%
Linke
$6,372 KL.
19%
SPD
$2,467 KL.
7%
BSW
$903 KL.
1%
FDP
$1,069 KL.
<1%
FW
$713 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling ahead of Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 23 percent, with AfD posting the largest gains from prior results. This narrow spread among the four parties leaves third place highly sensitive to final turnout patterns, preference flows between left-leaning lists, and AfD mobilization in key districts. Trader prices assign AfD the clearest edge for third while keeping CDU, Grüne, and Linke in contention, reflecting the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that modest polling shifts or last-week developments could reorder the ranking before votes are counted.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,280Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling ahead of Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 23 percent, with AfD posting the largest gains from prior results. This narrow spread among the four parties leaves third place highly sensitive to final turnout patterns, preference flows between left-leaning lists, and AfD mobilization in key districts. Trader prices assign AfD the clearest edge for third while keeping CDU, Grüne, and Linke in contention, reflecting the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that modest polling shifts or last-week developments could reorder the ranking before votes are counted.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$34,280Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 23 percent, with AfD posting the largest gains from prior results. This narrow spread among the four parties leaves third place highly sensitive to final turnout patterns, preference flows between left-leaning lists, and AfD mobilization in key districts. Trader prices assign AfD the clearest edge for third while keeping CDU, Grüne, and Linke in contention, reflecting the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that modest polling shifts or last-week developments could reorder the ranking before votes are counted.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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