The Democratic vice presidential nomination for 2028 remains highly uncertain more than two years before the next general election, leaving implied probabilities dispersed across a broad field with no dominant favorite. Current trader consensus places Chelsea Clinton, Rahm Emanuel, Stephen A. Smith, Gina Raimondo, and Beto O’Rourke at the top, each between 17% and 22%, driven primarily by name recognition and early media speculation rather than established positioning within the party. This tight clustering around the leaders reflects the distant timeline and absence of declared candidates or major recent party developments that would consolidate support. Future separation could arise from midterm election outcomes, emerging leadership roles, or shifts in Democratic strategy that elevate specific profiles ahead of the primary process.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDemocratic VP Nominee 2028
Gina Raimondo 23.7%
Chelsea Clinton 22.5%
Zohran Mamdani 17.0%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
$24,485 KL.
$24,485 KL.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
10%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Gina Raimondo
24%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
3%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Phil Murphy
3%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
12%
George Clooney
4%
Chelsea Clinton
23%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
22%
Kim Kardashian
20%
Chris Murphy
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
16%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
Gina Raimondo 23.7%
Chelsea Clinton 22.5%
Zohran Mamdani 17.0%
Gretchen Whitmer 9.0%
$24,485 KL.
$24,485 KL.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
10%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
4%
Mark Kelly
6%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Gina Raimondo
24%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Roy Cooper
5%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
3%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
3%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Phil Murphy
3%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
12%
George Clooney
4%
Chelsea Clinton
23%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
22%
Kim Kardashian
20%
Chris Murphy
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Ro Khanna
16%
James Talarico
2%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic vice presidential nomination for 2028 remains highly uncertain more than two years before the next general election, leaving implied probabilities dispersed across a broad field with no dominant favorite. Current trader consensus places Chelsea Clinton, Rahm Emanuel, Stephen A. Smith, Gina Raimondo, and Beto O’Rourke at the top, each between 17% and 22%, driven primarily by name recognition and early media speculation rather than established positioning within the party. This tight clustering around the leaders reflects the distant timeline and absence of declared candidates or major recent party developments that would consolidate support. Future separation could arise from midterm election outcomes, emerging leadership roles, or shifts in Democratic strategy that elevate specific profiles ahead of the primary process.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp