The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season farewell campaign after CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and recent Creative Arts wins including writing for a variety series. Last year’s talk series victory and the show’s consistent technical and creative recognition have built strong voter momentum in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees earn Emmys individually by clearing a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live carry strong historical precedent but lack comparable recent momentum or narrative weight heading into the September 14 ceremony.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.5%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 5.4%
“The Daily Show” 5.2%
$221,039 KL.
$221,039 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
6%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
5%
“The Daily Show”
5%
“Saturday Night Live”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.5%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 5.4%
“The Daily Show” 5.2%
$221,039 KL.
$221,039 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$64,951 KL.
74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$38,959 KL.
6%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$49,459 KL.
5%
“The Daily Show”
$32,357 KL.
5%
“Saturday Night Live”
$35,314 KL.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season farewell campaign after CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and recent Creative Arts wins including writing for a variety series. Last year’s talk series victory and the show’s consistent technical and creative recognition have built strong voter momentum in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees earn Emmys individually by clearing a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live carry strong historical precedent but lack comparable recent momentum or narrative weight heading into the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$221,039Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season farewell campaign after CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and recent Creative Arts wins including writing for a variety series. Last year’s talk series victory and the show’s consistent technical and creative recognition have built strong voter momentum in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees earn Emmys individually by clearing a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live carry strong historical precedent but lack comparable recent momentum or narrative weight heading into the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$221,039Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season farewell campaign after CBS cancellation, a record nine Emmy nominations, and recent Creative Arts wins including writing for a variety series. Last year’s talk series victory and the show’s consistent technical and creative recognition have built strong voter momentum in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees earn Emmys individually by clearing a high approval threshold. Competitors like Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live carry strong historical precedent but lack comparable recent momentum or narrative weight heading into the September 14 ceremony.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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