The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s final season after CBS cancellation has anchored trader consensus around its 75% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, multiple Creative Arts wins including writing, and a farewell narrative amid ongoing political tensions. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single area award—where nominees can theoretically all win if they clear a 90% threshold or claim the highest percentage—adds uncertainty but reinforces Colbert’s momentum as voters appear poised to reward legacy and recent guild-level recognition over historical streaks. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show trail with lower odds, reflecting strong but less immediate campaign drivers ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 7.5%
“Saturday Night Live” 6.3%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.2%
$185,898 KL.
$185,898 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
7%
“Saturday Night Live”
6%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
4%
“The Daily Show”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 7.5%
“Saturday Night Live” 6.3%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.2%
$185,898 KL.
$185,898 KL.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$52,991 KL.
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$35,347 KL.
7%
“Saturday Night Live”
$32,086 KL.
6%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$40,073 KL.
4%
“The Daily Show”
$25,401 KL.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s final season after CBS cancellation has anchored trader consensus around its 75% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, multiple Creative Arts wins including writing, and a farewell narrative amid ongoing political tensions. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single area award—where nominees can theoretically all win if they clear a 90% threshold or claim the highest percentage—adds uncertainty but reinforces Colbert’s momentum as voters appear poised to reward legacy and recent guild-level recognition over historical streaks. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show trail with lower odds, reflecting strong but less immediate campaign drivers ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$185,898Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s final season after CBS cancellation has anchored trader consensus around its 75% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, multiple Creative Arts wins including writing, and a farewell narrative amid ongoing political tensions. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single area award—where nominees can theoretically all win if they clear a 90% threshold or claim the highest percentage—adds uncertainty but reinforces Colbert’s momentum as voters appear poised to reward legacy and recent guild-level recognition over historical streaks. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show trail with lower odds, reflecting strong but less immediate campaign drivers ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$185,898Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s final season after CBS cancellation has anchored trader consensus around its 75% implied probability, fueled by a record nine Emmy nominations, multiple Creative Arts wins including writing, and a farewell narrative amid ongoing political tensions. The Television Academy’s merger of talk and scripted variety into a single area award—where nominees can theoretically all win if they clear a 90% threshold or claim the highest percentage—adds uncertainty but reinforces Colbert’s momentum as voters appear poised to reward legacy and recent guild-level recognition over historical streaks. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Saturday Night Live, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, and The Daily Show trail with lower odds, reflecting strong but less immediate campaign drivers ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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