The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Vòng bán kết đầu tiên
Eurovision 2026: Vòng bán kết đầu tiên
$475,039 KL.
May 12, 2026
Finland
98%
Sweden
98%
Greece
97%
Israel
92%
Moldova
89%
Serbia
80%
Croatia
77%
Lithuania
66%
Montenegro
64%
Poland
48%
Portugal
40%
Estonia
36%
Georgia
35%
Belgium
31%
San Marino
19%
$475,039 KL.
Finland
$334,215 KL.
98%
Sweden
$3,137 KL.
98%
Greece
$5,034 KL.
97%
Israel
$19,737 KL.
92%
Moldova
$18,870 KL.
89%
Serbia
$6,334 KL.
80%
Croatia
$7,990 KL.
77%
Lithuania
$3,176 KL.
66%
Montenegro
$6,185 KL.
64%
Poland
$8,959 KL.
48%
Portugal
$34,669 KL.
40%
Estonia
$6,915 KL.
36%
Georgia
$2,185 KL.
35%
Belgium
$10,035 KL.
31%
San Marino
$7,598 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$475,039Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$475,039Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The April 2 reveal of the first semi-final running order for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has intensified trader scrutiny on qualification dynamics, positioning Moldova's opener "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi, Sweden's early powerhouse "My System" by FELICIA, and Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas as frontrunners in betting consensus. With all 15 entrants—from Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen to Israel's strong contender—now set for May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, markets reflect high implied probabilities (often 85-98%) for Nordic and Balkan acts based on national selection buzz, preview clips, and historical televote strength from diaspora blocs. First rehearsals kick off late April, potentially swaying staging narratives and jury sentiment before the top 10 advance amid live performance risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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