Scottie Scheffler's commanding lead atop the 2026 FedEx Cup standings, built on one victory and exceptional consistency across 17 regular-season starts, anchors trader sentiment at 20.5% implied probability. Yet the compressed playoff format—beginning with the FedEx St. Jude Championship—introduces substantial variance, as the top 30 advance to East Lake with points multipliers that reward hot streaks over raw totals. Rory McIlroy's three prior FedEx Cup titles and strong recent form keep him at 13.5%, while a crowded group including Cameron Young, Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, and others at 4–6% reflects the deep pool of in-form players capable of capitalizing on course fit, rest advantages, or momentum swings across the three events. This structure sustains competitive pricing despite the points gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtScottie Scheffler 20%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 6.1%
Tommy Fleetwood 5.9%
$2,607,790 KL.
$2,607,790 KL.
Scottie Scheffler
20%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Russell Henley
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Ryo Hisatsune
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Sepp Straka
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jacob Bridgeman
2%
Gary Woodland
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Nico Echavarria
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 20%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 6.1%
Tommy Fleetwood 5.9%
$2,607,790 KL.
$2,607,790 KL.
Scottie Scheffler
20%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Russell Henley
5%
Sam Burns
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Ryo Hisatsune
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Sepp Straka
2%
J.J. Spaun
2%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jacob Bridgeman
2%
Gary Woodland
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Nico Echavarria
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler's commanding lead atop the 2026 FedEx Cup standings, built on one victory and exceptional consistency across 17 regular-season starts, anchors trader sentiment at 20.5% implied probability. Yet the compressed playoff format—beginning with the FedEx St. Jude Championship—introduces substantial variance, as the top 30 advance to East Lake with points multipliers that reward hot streaks over raw totals. Rory McIlroy's three prior FedEx Cup titles and strong recent form keep him at 13.5%, while a crowded group including Cameron Young, Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, and others at 4–6% reflects the deep pool of in-form players capable of capitalizing on course fit, rest advantages, or momentum swings across the three events. This structure sustains competitive pricing despite the points gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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