Trader consensus slightly favors the UEFA playoff Path C winner—Turkey, after their 1-0 victory over Kosovo in late March—over the host USA to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D, with probabilities tightly clustered at 40% and 38% amid recent USMNT's 2-1 friendly loss to Turkey highlighting the Europeans' counter-attacking threat from stars like Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. USA benefits from home-soil advantage in all group matches, including opener versus Paraguay at SoFi Stadium, bolstered by Christian Pulisic's sharp finishing in ongoing California training camps, but faces stiff competition from Paraguay's rock-solid CONMEBOL third-place qualifying defense and Australia's resilient Socceroos experience. Over the past week, all four squads have intensified preparations—Paraguay drilling compact blocks, Australia emphasizing transitions, Turkey fluid passing—keeping Paraguay at 17.5% and Australia at 7.1% as viable spoilers in this balanced group vying for top-two advancement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 40%
USA 39%
Paraguay 17%
Australia 7.0%
$28,553 KL.
$28,553 KL.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
40%
USA
39%
Paraguay
17%
Australia
7%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 40%
USA 39%
Paraguay 17%
Australia 7.0%
$28,553 KL.
$28,553 KL.
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
40%
USA
39%
Paraguay
17%
Australia
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors the UEFA playoff Path C winner—Turkey, after their 1-0 victory over Kosovo in late March—over the host USA to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D, with probabilities tightly clustered at 40% and 38% amid recent USMNT's 2-1 friendly loss to Turkey highlighting the Europeans' counter-attacking threat from stars like Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. USA benefits from home-soil advantage in all group matches, including opener versus Paraguay at SoFi Stadium, bolstered by Christian Pulisic's sharp finishing in ongoing California training camps, but faces stiff competition from Paraguay's rock-solid CONMEBOL third-place qualifying defense and Australia's resilient Socceroos experience. Over the past week, all four squads have intensified preparations—Paraguay drilling compact blocks, Australia emphasizing transitions, Turkey fluid passing—keeping Paraguay at 17.5% and Australia at 7.1% as viable spoilers in this balanced group vying for top-two advancement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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