An approaching coastal low, potentially developing into an early-season nor’easter, is the dominant factor shaping wind gust expectations at Boston Logan International Airport from September 24–28. National Weather Service forecasts from the Norton office indicate northeast winds strengthening Thursday into Friday, with gusts reaching 36 mph amid increasing showers, then peaking Saturday with north winds of 22–25 mph and gusts to 39 mph as the system passes offshore. Sunday gusts are projected near 36 mph before easing. These values align with ensemble guidance showing elevated pressure gradients and onshore flow, though exact peak gusts remain sensitive to the low’s track and intensification. Historical September gusts at Logan average well below 30 mph, making this event notable. Traders should monitor updated NWS model runs, Aviation Weather Center products, and official ASOS observations, which will determine the market resolution based on the single highest sustained gust recorded during the period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest wind gust at Boston Logan, September 24 to 28?
35 kt or more
75%
40 kt or more
33%
45 kt or more
27%
50 kt or more
17%
55 kt or more
20%
$1,187 KL.
35 kt or more
75%
40 kt or more
33%
45 kt or more
27%
50 kt or more
17%
55 kt or more
20%
The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KBOS within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC.
A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution.
The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions.
If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point.
If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station BOS, which publishes the routine and special observations for KBOS. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=BOS&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
The qualifying value is the highest of the gust (Gxx) in the wind group and the peak wind (PK WND) remark speed at KBOS within that window, in knots as reported. In a wind group written as 07017G30KT the gust is the value after the letter G, here 30 kt. In a remark written as PK WND 05026/1151 the peak wind speed is the value after the three digit wind direction, here 26 kt, and 1151 is the time of that peak in UTC.
A gust (Gxx) counts if the METAR or SPECI observation reporting it falls within the window. A peak wind (PK WND) counts if the time stamped inside the remark falls within the window. These are not the same test: a peak wind remark reports the highest wind since the previous routine observation, so it can lag the observation carrying it by up to one hour. Peak wind times are stamped in UTC and will be converted to ET before being compared to the window. Observations published up to one hour after the window closes will also be read, so that a peak wind occurring in the final hour of the window is captured. A peak wind timed outside the window will not be considered for resolution.
The observation as first published governs. A revision published after an observation is first published will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized observation has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions.
If any observation remains unpublished or unfinalized, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after September 28, 2026; it will then resolve based on the finalized observations published up to that point.
If no wind observation for the window has been published by the end of that period, this market will resolve to "No". Every market in this event may resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the Iowa Environmental Mesonet ASOS archive for station BOS, which publishes the routine and special observations for KBOS. The link below deliberately spans a wider range of dates than the market window, so that it returns observations before the window opens and for one hour after it closes. Observations dated outside September 24 to September 28, 2026 are shown for context only and do not count toward resolution. The archive is available here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?station=BOS&data=metar&year1=2026&month1=9&day1=21&year2=2026&month2=9&day2=30&tz=America%2FNew_York&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
An approaching coastal low, potentially developing into an early-season nor’easter, is the dominant factor shaping wind gust expectations at Boston Logan International Airport from September 24–28. National Weather Service forecasts from the Norton office indicate northeast winds strengthening Thursday into Friday, with gusts reaching 36 mph amid increasing showers, then peaking Saturday with north winds of 22–25 mph and gusts to 39 mph as the system passes offshore. Sunday gusts are projected near 36 mph before easing. These values align with ensemble guidance showing elevated pressure gradients and onshore flow, though exact peak gusts remain sensitive to the low’s track and intensification. Historical September gusts at Logan average well below 30 mph, making this event notable. Traders should monitor updated NWS model runs, Aviation Weather Center products, and official ASOS observations, which will determine the market resolution based on the single highest sustained gust recorded during the period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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