Trader consensus on a potential Iran Supreme Leader change reflects heightened uncertainty over Mojtaba Khamenei's capacity to govern amid unconfirmed intelligence reports of his severe injuries from February airstrikes—including possible coma or limb loss—and his absence from public view since early March appointment following father Ali Khamenei's killing on February 28. Iranian officials deny health issues, insisting he directs decisions remotely, but the regime's decapitation losses, including security chief Ali Larijani, and ongoing US-Israeli military actions have deepened a perceived power vacuum involving IRGC hardliners. No scheduled Assembly of Experts meetings or public addresses are announced, leaving traders focused on escalation risks or internal coup scenarios through year-end.