Recent April 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.8% year-over-year against a 3.7% consensus, has anchored trader expectations for the May reading, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast showing 4.18% as of May 22. Persistent energy price pressures, including gasoline costs elevated by geopolitical developments, combined with shelter and goods components, continue to support implied probabilities clustering around 4.2–4.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term dynamics ahead of the June 10 release, while acknowledging potential moderation if energy prices ease.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4.3% 46%
≥4.4% 30%
4.2% 22%
4.1% <1%
$237,260 KL.
$237,260 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
1%
4.2%
22%
4.3%
46%
≥4.4%
30%
4.3% 46%
≥4.4% 30%
4.2% 22%
4.1% <1%
$237,260 KL.
$237,260 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$14,187 KL.
<1%
3.4%
$13,092 KL.
<1%
3.5%
$20,027 KL.
1%
3.6%
$15,961 KL.
<1%
3.7%
$12,993 KL.
<1%
3.8%
$15,840 KL.
<1%
3.9%
$20,848 KL.
<1%
4.0%
$17,958 KL.
<1%
4.1%
$17,633 KL.
1%
4.2%
$26,973 KL.
22%
4.3%
$39,785 KL.
46%
≥4.4%
$21,964 KL.
30%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.8% year-over-year against a 3.7% consensus, has anchored trader expectations for the May reading, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast showing 4.18% as of May 22. Persistent energy price pressures, including gasoline costs elevated by geopolitical developments, combined with shelter and goods components, continue to support implied probabilities clustering around 4.2–4.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term dynamics ahead of the June 10 release, while acknowledging potential moderation if energy prices ease.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$237,260Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.8% year-over-year against a 3.7% consensus, has anchored trader expectations for the May reading, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast showing 4.18% as of May 22. Persistent energy price pressures, including gasoline costs elevated by geopolitical developments, combined with shelter and goods components, continue to support implied probabilities clustering around 4.2–4.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term dynamics ahead of the June 10 release, while acknowledging potential moderation if energy prices ease.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$237,260Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data, which printed at 3.8% year-over-year against a 3.7% consensus, has anchored trader expectations for the May reading, with the Cleveland Fed nowcast showing 4.18% as of May 22. Persistent energy price pressures, including gasoline costs elevated by geopolitical developments, combined with shelter and goods components, continue to support implied probabilities clustering around 4.2–4.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term dynamics ahead of the June 10 release, while acknowledging potential moderation if energy prices ease.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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