Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, with Peggy Flanagan securing the Senate nomination and state-level polling showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. Forecasters rate the Senate contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent survey leads and the absence of a Republican breakthrough in recent cycles. The governor race similarly shows Democratic strength in an open contest. These factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic sweep of both offices, while split outcomes remain possible if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics shift. Scheduled events through November, including any additional polling releases, could still influence positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 5%
Reps sweep 2.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
5%
Reps sweep
2%
Dems sweep 89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 5%
Reps sweep 2.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$449 KL.
89%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$91 KL.
8%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$101 KL.
5%
Reps sweep
$143 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, with Peggy Flanagan securing the Senate nomination and state-level polling showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. Forecasters rate the Senate contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent survey leads and the absence of a Republican breakthrough in recent cycles. The governor race similarly shows Democratic strength in an open contest. These factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic sweep of both offices, while split outcomes remain possible if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics shift. Scheduled events through November, including any additional polling releases, could still influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$783Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, with Peggy Flanagan securing the Senate nomination and state-level polling showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. Forecasters rate the Senate contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent survey leads and the absence of a Republican breakthrough in recent cycles. The governor race similarly shows Democratic strength in an open contest. These factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic sweep of both offices, while split outcomes remain possible if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics shift. Scheduled events through November, including any additional polling releases, could still influence positioning.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$783Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, with Peggy Flanagan securing the Senate nomination and state-level polling showing her ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya by margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. Forecasters rate the Senate contest Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent survey leads and the absence of a Republican breakthrough in recent cycles. The governor race similarly shows Democratic strength in an open contest. These factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic sweep of both offices, while split outcomes remain possible if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics shift. Scheduled events through November, including any additional polling releases, could still influence positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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