Yordan Alvarez holds the top spot in the 2026 home run race with 35 long balls through early August, driving trader consensus around his 47.6% implied probability as the season leader. Kyle Schwarber sits just two behind at 33, supporting his 34.5% share amid consistent power production for the Phillies. Junior Caminero, Ben Rice, and James Wood each hover near 30 homers, reflecting their 9-10% probabilities in a tight pack of contenders with strong recent output. Matt Olson's 31 homers and solid plate discipline keep him in the mix at 1.6%, while veterans like Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani trail further back. Remaining schedule strength, injury risk, and late-season pace will shape final positioning in this closely contested individual statistic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtYordan Alvarez 53.3%
Kyle Schwarber 35%
Junior Caminero 4.9%
Ben Rice 4.2%
$3,117,130 KL.
$3,117,130 KL.
Yordan Alvarez
53%
Kyle Schwarber
35%
Junior Caminero
11%
Ben Rice
9%
James Wood
3%
Matt Olson
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Brandon Lowe
1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 53.3%
Kyle Schwarber 35%
Junior Caminero 4.9%
Ben Rice 4.2%
$3,117,130 KL.
$3,117,130 KL.
Yordan Alvarez
53%
Kyle Schwarber
35%
Junior Caminero
11%
Ben Rice
9%
James Wood
3%
Matt Olson
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Brandon Lowe
1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Munetaka Murakami
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez holds the top spot in the 2026 home run race with 35 long balls through early August, driving trader consensus around his 47.6% implied probability as the season leader. Kyle Schwarber sits just two behind at 33, supporting his 34.5% share amid consistent power production for the Phillies. Junior Caminero, Ben Rice, and James Wood each hover near 30 homers, reflecting their 9-10% probabilities in a tight pack of contenders with strong recent output. Matt Olson's 31 homers and solid plate discipline keep him in the mix at 1.6%, while veterans like Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani trail further back. Remaining schedule strength, injury risk, and late-season pace will shape final positioning in this closely contested individual statistic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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