Trader consensus around a 95% implied probability that Anthony Davis will not be traded before the 2026-27 season stems primarily from his February 2026 move to the Washington Wizards and subsequent reports indicating no active pursuit by other clubs. Davis remains under a large guaranteed contract through 2027, with extension eligibility opening in August 2026, giving the Wizards leverage to retain the 10-time All-Star rather than facilitate another mid-offseason deal. Recent league-wide assessments note limited trade interest, roster continuity priorities in Washington, and the practical challenges of matching salaries or assets before training camp. While a late injury, sudden extension impasse, or aggressive offer from a contender could still shift timelines, the current stability and timing favor Davis opening the season with his present team.