Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 65.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent urging for patience amid Bond 26 pre-production—despite rumors of filming starting as early as this year under potential director Denis Villeneuve. Callum Turner leads contenders at 19%, bolstered by persistent casting buzz from his rising profile in Masters of the Air and Eternity, plus reports of him confiding in friends about the role, though he declined comment in February. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% on faded 2023-2025 momentum, while Jacob Elordi and Henry Cavill tie at 1.9% amid sporadic speculation. With no official shortlist or guild signals, markets reflect high uncertainty until a formal announcement, potentially post-Dune: Part Three wrap-up.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDiễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?
Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?
Chưa chọn Bond 66%
Callum Turner 19%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.5%
Jacob Elordi 1.9%
$1,818,170 KL.
$1,818,170 KL.
Chưa chọn Bond
66%
Callum Turner
19%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
6%
Jacob Elordi
2%
Henry Cavill
2%
Theo James
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
James Norton
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Harris Dickinson
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Chưa chọn Bond 66%
Callum Turner 19%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.5%
Jacob Elordi 1.9%
$1,818,170 KL.
$1,818,170 KL.
Chưa chọn Bond
66%
Callum Turner
19%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
6%
Jacob Elordi
2%
Henry Cavill
2%
Theo James
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
James Norton
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
Jack Lowdon
<1%
Harris Dickinson
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 65.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent urging for patience amid Bond 26 pre-production—despite rumors of filming starting as early as this year under potential director Denis Villeneuve. Callum Turner leads contenders at 19%, bolstered by persistent casting buzz from his rising profile in Masters of the Air and Eternity, plus reports of him confiding in friends about the role, though he declined comment in February. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 5.5% on faded 2023-2025 momentum, while Jacob Elordi and Henry Cavill tie at 1.9% amid sporadic speculation. With no official shortlist or guild signals, markets reflect high uncertainty until a formal announcement, potentially post-Dune: Part Three wrap-up.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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