Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at a Brooklyn detention center since his January 3, 2026, seizure by American forces during a raid on his Caracas compound, facing narcotrafficking and narco-terrorism charges with a trial set for 2027. The interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez has notably excluded demands for his release from recent opposition negotiations and prisoner amnesties, signaling his diminished priority amid broader transition talks. Defense arguments may contest the legality of the extraterritorial operation or invoke immunity claims, while diplomatic channels or plea considerations could influence outcomes before the scheduled court date. Trader focus centers on US prosecutorial decisions, Venezuelan political pressures, and any late-stage bilateral developments that might alter custody status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,687,895 KL.
Jan 30, 2026
31 tháng 12
7%
$2,687,895 KL.
31 tháng 12
$292,446 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at a Brooklyn detention center since his January 3, 2026, seizure by American forces during a raid on his Caracas compound, facing narcotrafficking and narco-terrorism charges with a trial set for 2027. The interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez has notably excluded demands for his release from recent opposition negotiations and prisoner amnesties, signaling his diminished priority amid broader transition talks. Defense arguments may contest the legality of the extraterritorial operation or invoke immunity claims, while diplomatic channels or plea considerations could influence outcomes before the scheduled court date. Trader focus centers on US prosecutorial decisions, Venezuelan political pressures, and any late-stage bilateral developments that might alter custody status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,687,895Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at a Brooklyn detention center since his January 3, 2026, seizure by American forces during a raid on his Caracas compound, facing narcotrafficking and narco-terrorism charges with a trial set for 2027. The interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez has notably excluded demands for his release from recent opposition negotiations and prisoner amnesties, signaling his diminished priority amid broader transition talks. Defense arguments may contest the legality of the extraterritorial operation or invoke immunity claims, while diplomatic channels or plea considerations could influence outcomes before the scheduled court date. Trader focus centers on US prosecutorial decisions, Venezuelan political pressures, and any late-stage bilateral developments that might alter custody status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,687,895Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody at a Brooklyn detention center since his January 3, 2026, seizure by American forces during a raid on his Caracas compound, facing narcotrafficking and narco-terrorism charges with a trial set for 2027. The interim Venezuelan government under Delcy Rodríguez has notably excluded demands for his release from recent opposition negotiations and prisoner amnesties, signaling his diminished priority amid broader transition talks. Defense arguments may contest the legality of the extraterritorial operation or invoke immunity claims, while diplomatic channels or plea considerations could influence outcomes before the scheduled court date. Trader focus centers on US prosecutorial decisions, Venezuelan political pressures, and any late-stage bilateral developments that might alter custody status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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