Claire Valdez holds a 71% implied probability in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 27%, as the open seat left by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-aligned progressives and broader labor-backed coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly leading Reynoso among likely primary voters with a large undecided share, while Valdez maintains a slight fundraising edge. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement and organized labor support tied to his borough presidency record, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational efforts in Queens and Brooklyn turnout. Julie Won and remaining candidates trail far behind in both polling and pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez 71%
Antonio Reynoso 28%
Julie Won 4.2%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,985 KL.
$131,985 KL.
Claire Valdez
71%
Antonio Reynoso
28%
Julie Won
4%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 71%
Antonio Reynoso 28%
Julie Won 4.2%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$131,985 KL.
$131,985 KL.
Claire Valdez
71%
Antonio Reynoso
28%
Julie Won
4%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez holds a 71% implied probability in trader consensus for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 27%, as the open seat left by retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez has sharpened divisions between Democratic Socialists of America-aligned progressives and broader labor-backed coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly leading Reynoso among likely primary voters with a large undecided share, while Valdez maintains a slight fundraising edge. Reynoso benefits from Velázquez’s endorsement and organized labor support tied to his borough presidency record, yet market pricing reflects Valdez’s momentum from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s backing and DSA organizational efforts in Queens and Brooklyn turnout. Julie Won and remaining candidates trail far behind in both polling and pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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