The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein contacts, underpins trader consensus that he will avoid any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Thames Valley Police continue the investigation and have sought additional witnesses, yet UK legal timelines for charging decisions, prosecutions, and appeals typically extend well beyond the current window. The high evidentiary threshold for the common-law offense further supports limited near-term risk of conviction. Late emergence of compelling new evidence prompting swift charges and a guilty outcome remains the primary pathway that could still alter this assessment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3% khả năng
$220,844 KL.
$220,844 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3% khả năng
$220,844 KL.
$220,844 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein contacts, underpins trader consensus that he will avoid any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Thames Valley Police continue the investigation and have sought additional witnesses, yet UK legal timelines for charging decisions, prosecutions, and appeals typically extend well beyond the current window. The high evidentiary threshold for the common-law offense further supports limited near-term risk of conviction. Late emergence of compelling new evidence prompting swift charges and a guilty outcome remains the primary pathway that could still alter this assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Khối lượng
$220,844Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein contacts, underpins trader consensus that he will avoid any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Thames Valley Police continue the investigation and have sought additional witnesses, yet UK legal timelines for charging decisions, prosecutions, and appeals typically extend well beyond the current window. The high evidentiary threshold for the common-law offense further supports limited near-term risk of conviction. Late emergence of compelling new evidence prompting swift charges and a guilty outcome remains the primary pathway that could still alter this assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$220,844Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of formal charges against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, despite his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein contacts, underpins trader consensus that he will avoid any prison sentence by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Thames Valley Police continue the investigation and have sought additional witnesses, yet UK legal timelines for charging decisions, prosecutions, and appeals typically extend well beyond the current window. The high evidentiary threshold for the common-law offense further supports limited near-term risk of conviction. Late emergence of compelling new evidence prompting swift charges and a guilty outcome remains the primary pathway that could still alter this assessment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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