Tom Sell's commanding 88.6% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant 40.4% first-round plurality on March 3—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—followed by a recent Harper poll (April 7-8) showing Sell at 57.5% to Enriquez's 17.1% among likely voters. Sell has consolidated support through endorsements from nearly all dropped primary opponents, including Ryan Zink and Jason Corley, plus House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Texas Farm Bureau, State Rep. Carl Tepper (April 8), and Rep. Brandon Gill, alongside superior fundraising ($1.76M raised vs. Enriquez's $530K as of March 31). Enriquez holds Gov. Greg Abbott's backing but faces recent allegations of donor irregularities and foreign ties. Early voting begins May 18 ahead of the May 26 runoff in this open, solidly Republican seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-19 Republican Primary Winner
TX-19 Republican Primary Winner
Tom Sell 88.6%
Abraham Enriquez 8.3%
Ryan Zink <1%
Matthew Smith <1%
$66,909 KL.
$66,909 KL.
Tom Sell
89%
Abraham Enriquez
8%
Ryan Zink
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Tom Sell 88.6%
Abraham Enriquez 8.3%
Ryan Zink <1%
Matthew Smith <1%
$66,909 KL.
$66,909 KL.
Tom Sell
89%
Abraham Enriquez
8%
Ryan Zink
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's commanding 88.6% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff stems from his dominant 40.4% first-round plurality on March 3—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—followed by a recent Harper poll (April 7-8) showing Sell at 57.5% to Enriquez's 17.1% among likely voters. Sell has consolidated support through endorsements from nearly all dropped primary opponents, including Ryan Zink and Jason Corley, plus House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Texas Farm Bureau, State Rep. Carl Tepper (April 8), and Rep. Brandon Gill, alongside superior fundraising ($1.76M raised vs. Enriquez's $530K as of March 31). Enriquez holds Gov. Greg Abbott's backing but faces recent allegations of donor irregularities and foreign ties. Early voting begins May 18 ahead of the May 26 runoff in this open, solidly Republican seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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