Spain’s status as reigning European champions and 2026 World Cup winners, powered by a deep young squad featuring talents like Lamine Yamal, gives traders the narrowest implied probability at 22.5%. France sits close behind at 19.5% on the strength of elite depth and Zinedine Zidane’s arrival as manager following a disappointing World Cup semifinal exit. England’s 15.5% reflects co-host status and Thomas Tuchel’s continuity despite a third-place World Cup finish, while Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands cluster tightly on roster quality and recent Nations League form. Multiple managerial transitions and the extended timeline to 2028 keep the field compressed, as qualifying results and squad evolution can quickly shift the wisdom-of-crowds consensus reflected in current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSpain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 11%
$83,129 KL.
$83,129 KL.
Albania
1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Belarus
1%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
1%
Finland
1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
11%
Gibraltar
1%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
7%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
7%
Poland
<1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
Spain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 11%
$83,129 KL.
$83,129 KL.
Albania
1%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
1%
Belarus
1%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
<1%
Faroe Islands
1%
Finland
1%
France
20%
Georgia
<1%
Germany
11%
Gibraltar
1%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
7%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
7%
Poland
<1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Spain’s status as reigning European champions and 2026 World Cup winners, powered by a deep young squad featuring talents like Lamine Yamal, gives traders the narrowest implied probability at 22.5%. France sits close behind at 19.5% on the strength of elite depth and Zinedine Zidane’s arrival as manager following a disappointing World Cup semifinal exit. England’s 15.5% reflects co-host status and Thomas Tuchel’s continuity despite a third-place World Cup finish, while Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands cluster tightly on roster quality and recent Nations League form. Multiple managerial transitions and the extended timeline to 2028 keep the field compressed, as qualifying results and squad evolution can quickly shift the wisdom-of-crowds consensus reflected in current pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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