Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCuộc bầu cử ở Vương quốc Anh được kêu gọi bởi...?
Cuộc bầu cử ở Vương quốc Anh được kêu gọi bởi...?
$823,533 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
33%
$823,533 KL.
December 31, 2026
$27,274 KL.
11%
June 30, 2027
$5,111 KL.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$823,533Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$823,533Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, Prime Minister Andy Burnham holds sole discretion to request dissolution and set an election date, with the latest possible poll on 15 August 2029 unless called earlier. Recent leadership transition after Keir Starmer’s June 2026 resignation and Labour’s May local election losses has stabilized under Burnham, delivering a polling recovery and reduced immediate pressure for a snap contest. Traders assign low odds to a call by mid-2026 or even 2027 because the government retains a solid majority, faces no acute crisis, and benefits from the “Burnham bounce” that has restored Labour’s lead over Reform and the Conservatives. Key upcoming catalysts include economic data releases, by-elections, and the autumn party conference season, any of which could shift sentiment if they erode the current consensus favoring a later vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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