Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from the 2018 flip, fundraising dominance, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% versus Nate Blouin's 23%. Blouin's 21.5% share has eroded amid backlash over resurfaced social media posts mocking Latter-day Saints, prompting Kathleen Riebe's recent dropout and endorsement of McAdams as the steadier alternative ahead of the April 25 state convention. Lower-tier candidates like Brian King trail due to limited momentum in the crowded field for the newly redrawn, left-leaning district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Ben McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 22%
Kathleen Riebe 1.1%
Brian King <1%
$25,079 KL.
$25,079 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
22%
Kathleen Riebe
1%
Brian King
1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Ben McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 22%
Kathleen Riebe 1.1%
Brian King <1%
$25,079 KL.
$25,079 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
Ben McAdams
$6,964 KL.
74%
Nate Blouin
$3,717 KL.
22%
Kathleen Riebe
$1,305 KL.
1%
Brian King
$904 KL.
1%
Jenny Wilson
$1,111 KL.
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
$4,197 KL.
<1%
Luz Escamilla
$5,536 KL.
<1%
Caroline Gleich
$668 KL.
<1%
Kael Weston
$677 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from the 2018 flip, fundraising dominance, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% versus Nate Blouin's 23%. Blouin's 21.5% share has eroded amid backlash over resurfaced social media posts mocking Latter-day Saints, prompting Kathleen Riebe's recent dropout and endorsement of McAdams as the steadier alternative ahead of the April 25 state convention. Lower-tier candidates like Brian King trail due to limited momentum in the crowded field for the newly redrawn, left-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,079Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from the 2018 flip, fundraising dominance, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% versus Nate Blouin's 23%. Blouin's 21.5% share has eroded amid backlash over resurfaced social media posts mocking Latter-day Saints, prompting Kathleen Riebe's recent dropout and endorsement of McAdams as the steadier alternative ahead of the April 25 state convention. Lower-tier candidates like Brian King trail due to limited momentum in the crowded field for the newly redrawn, left-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$25,079Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from the 2018 flip, fundraising dominance, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% versus Nate Blouin's 23%. Blouin's 21.5% share has eroded amid backlash over resurfaced social media posts mocking Latter-day Saints, prompting Kathleen Riebe's recent dropout and endorsement of McAdams as the steadier alternative ahead of the April 25 state convention. Lower-tier candidates like Brian King trail due to limited momentum in the crowded field for the newly redrawn, left-leaning district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp