Avengers: Doomsday leads with 69% implied probability due to its status as the biggest MCU crossover event since Endgame, featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday slot that historically drives record openings. Traders cite overwhelming pre-release buzz, massive franchise scale, and historical precedents for Avengers films dominating opening weeks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 28% after posting record previews and a projected $230–250 million-plus domestic debut in late July, yet its totals fall short of Doomsday expectations. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at 1% or less, lacking comparable event-level hype or release timing. The next major catalyst is Doomsday’s December arrival and any final tracking updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 69%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 28%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,148 KL.
$39,148 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
69%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
28%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 69%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 28%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,148 KL.
$39,148 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$5,764 KL.
69%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$5,148 KL.
28%
Toy Story 5
$1,782 KL.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$2,387 KL.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,920 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads with 69% implied probability due to its status as the biggest MCU crossover event since Endgame, featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday slot that historically drives record openings. Traders cite overwhelming pre-release buzz, massive franchise scale, and historical precedents for Avengers films dominating opening weeks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 28% after posting record previews and a projected $230–250 million-plus domestic debut in late July, yet its totals fall short of Doomsday expectations. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at 1% or less, lacking comparable event-level hype or release timing. The next major catalyst is Doomsday’s December arrival and any final tracking updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$39,148Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads with 69% implied probability due to its status as the biggest MCU crossover event since Endgame, featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday slot that historically drives record openings. Traders cite overwhelming pre-release buzz, massive franchise scale, and historical precedents for Avengers films dominating opening weeks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 28% after posting record previews and a projected $230–250 million-plus domestic debut in late July, yet its totals fall short of Doomsday expectations. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at 1% or less, lacking comparable event-level hype or release timing. The next major catalyst is Doomsday’s December arrival and any final tracking updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$39,148Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads with 69% implied probability due to its status as the biggest MCU crossover event since Endgame, featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday slot that historically drives record openings. Traders cite overwhelming pre-release buzz, massive franchise scale, and historical precedents for Avengers films dominating opening weeks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 28% after posting record previews and a projected $230–250 million-plus domestic debut in late July, yet its totals fall short of Doomsday expectations. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain long shots at 1% or less, lacking comparable event-level hype or release timing. The next major catalyst is Doomsday’s December arrival and any final tracking updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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