Avengers: Doomsday leads market sentiment at 63% implied probability due to its record-setting pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, fueled by the franchise's strongest trailer performance and sustained Marvel momentum following Spider-Man: Brand New Day's actual $360 million domestic opening in July. Traders see the MCU tentpole's holiday timing and broad audience appeal as key swing factors that could challenge or surpass that benchmark, despite direct competition with Dune: Part Three for premium screens. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit at 0.1% each, reflecting narrower franchise expectations and earlier November or shared December windows unlikely to reach superhero-scale openings. Upcoming chart updates and final tracking will clarify whether late hype shifts the deadlock.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$171,144 KL.
$171,144 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$171,144 KL.
$171,144 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$75,495 KL.
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$62,713 KL.
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 KL.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads market sentiment at 63% implied probability due to its record-setting pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, fueled by the franchise's strongest trailer performance and sustained Marvel momentum following Spider-Man: Brand New Day's actual $360 million domestic opening in July. Traders see the MCU tentpole's holiday timing and broad audience appeal as key swing factors that could challenge or surpass that benchmark, despite direct competition with Dune: Part Three for premium screens. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit at 0.1% each, reflecting narrower franchise expectations and earlier November or shared December windows unlikely to reach superhero-scale openings. Upcoming chart updates and final tracking will clarify whether late hype shifts the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$171,144Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads market sentiment at 63% implied probability due to its record-setting pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, fueled by the franchise's strongest trailer performance and sustained Marvel momentum following Spider-Man: Brand New Day's actual $360 million domestic opening in July. Traders see the MCU tentpole's holiday timing and broad audience appeal as key swing factors that could challenge or surpass that benchmark, despite direct competition with Dune: Part Three for premium screens. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit at 0.1% each, reflecting narrower franchise expectations and earlier November or shared December windows unlikely to reach superhero-scale openings. Upcoming chart updates and final tracking will clarify whether late hype shifts the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$171,144Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads market sentiment at 63% implied probability due to its record-setting pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, fueled by the franchise's strongest trailer performance and sustained Marvel momentum following Spider-Man: Brand New Day's actual $360 million domestic opening in July. Traders see the MCU tentpole's holiday timing and broad audience appeal as key swing factors that could challenge or surpass that benchmark, despite direct competition with Dune: Part Three for premium screens. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit at 0.1% each, reflecting narrower franchise expectations and earlier November or shared December windows unlikely to reach superhero-scale openings. Upcoming chart updates and final tracking will clarify whether late hype shifts the deadlock.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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