Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Sep 20, 2026
September 20
48%
September 30
50%
October 31
17%
$316 KL.
September 20
$108 KL.
48%
September 30
$0 KL.
50%
October 31
$208 KL.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Khối lượng
$316Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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