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icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 100.0%

Cameron Boozer <1%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Jayden Quaintance <1%

Polymarket

$737,317 交易量

AJ Dybantsa 100.0%

Cameron Boozer <1%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Jayden Quaintance <1%

Polymarket

$737,317 交易量

Cameron Boozer

$187,833 交易量

No

Caleb Wilson

$60,635 交易量

No

Jayden Quaintance

$2,615 交易量

No

Darryn Peterson

$150,582 交易量

No

AJ Dybantsa

$323,491 交易量

Yes

Koa Peat

$3,118 交易量

No

Nate Ament

$2,640 交易量

No

Mikel Brown Jr.

$4,241 交易量

No

Tounde Yessoufou

$2,161 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.AJ Dybantsa holds a dominant position as the consensus frontrunner for the 2026 NBA Draft's top selection, driven by his 6-9 wing frame, athleticism, versatile scoring, and two-way impact after a standout freshman season at BYU. Recent combine measurements and pre-draft evaluations have reinforced his edge over Darryn Peterson, whose offensive upside and perimeter creation keep him as a viable alternative at around 20% implied probability. Peterson's decision to limit workouts primarily to the likely No. 1 team (Washington Wizards) while skipping others has highlighted the gap in team interest. Cameron Boozer and lower-tier prospects like Caleb Wilson remain long shots due to less consistent elite production and physical tools. Trader pricing reflects this scouting consensus ahead of the June 23 draft.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
交易量
$737,317
結束日期
2026-06-25
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.AJ Dybantsa holds a dominant position as the consensus frontrunner for the 2026 NBA Draft's top selection, driven by his 6-9 wing frame, athleticism, versatile scoring, and two-way impact after a standout freshman season at BYU. Recent combine measurements and pre-draft evaluations have reinforced his edge over Darryn Peterson, whose offensive upside and perimeter creation keep him as a viable alternative at around 20% implied probability. Peterson's decision to limit workouts primarily to the likely No. 1 team (Washington Wizards) while skipping others has highlighted the gap in team interest. Cameron Boozer and lower-tier prospects like Caleb Wilson remain long shots due to less consistent elite production and physical tools. Trader pricing reflects this scouting consensus ahead of the June 23 draft.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
交易量
$737,317
結束日期
2026-06-25
市場開放時間
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Dybantsa" at 100%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" has generated $737.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is "AJ Dybantsa" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.