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体育·西甲

下一任皇家马德里主帅？

icon for 下一任皇家马德里主帅？
体育·西甲

下一任皇家马德里主帅？

何塞·穆里尼奥 44%

尤尔根·克洛普 25%

安多尼·伊劳拉 20.9%

乌奈·埃梅里 15%

Polymarket

$51,850 交易量

何塞·穆里尼奥 44%

尤尔根·克洛普 25%

安多尼·伊劳拉 20.9%

乌奈·埃梅里 15%

Polymarket

$51,850 交易量

何塞·穆里尼奥

$20,009 交易量

44%

尤尔根·克洛普

$11,583 交易量

25%

安多尼·伊劳拉

$357 交易量

13%

乌奈·埃梅里

$544 交易量

15%

毛里西奥·波切蒂诺

$659 交易量

12%

恩佐·马雷斯卡

$3,319 交易量

8%

路易斯·恩里克

$703 交易量

7%

迪迪埃·德尚

$1,044 交易量

4%

齐达内

$2,231 交易量

4%

马西米利亚诺·阿莱格里

$8,508 交易量

13%

朱利安·纳格尔斯曼

$590 交易量

1%

奥利弗·格拉斯纳

$647 交易量

1%

罗伯托·德泽尔比

$326 交易量

1%

利昂内尔·斯卡洛尼

$375 交易量

15%

米克尔·阿尔特塔

$727 交易量

<1%

托马斯·图赫尔

$334 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket's next Real Madrid head coach market reflects intense uncertainty following the club's Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16, with Álvaro Arbeloa's position in jeopardy after a disappointing interim stint since replacing Xabi Alonso in January. Florentino Pérez's reported preference for José Mourinho—a prior La Décima architect now thriving at Benfica—has propelled the Portuguese to 44% implied probability, fueled by his openness to a Bernabéu return and a self-imposed May 24 decision deadline amid recent media buzz. Arbeloa clings to a narrow 49.5% edge via his club legend status, internal promotion, and faint hopes of retention despite four losses in 12 early games, while Jürgen Klopp at 26.5% lingers as a high-profile wildcard, underscoring the board's divided support and summer managerial shortlist dynamics keeping the top duo tightly contested.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$51,850
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket's next Real Madrid head coach market reflects intense uncertainty following the club's Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16, with Álvaro Arbeloa's position in jeopardy after a disappointing interim stint since replacing Xabi Alonso in January. Florentino Pérez's reported preference for José Mourinho—a prior La Décima architect now thriving at Benfica—has propelled the Portuguese to 44% implied probability, fueled by his openness to a Bernabéu return and a self-imposed May 24 decision deadline amid recent media buzz. Arbeloa clings to a narrow 49.5% edge via his club legend status, internal promotion, and faint hopes of retention despite four losses in 12 early games, while Jürgen Klopp at 26.5% lingers as a high-profile wildcard, underscoring the board's divided support and summer managerial shortlist dynamics keeping the top duo tightly contested.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$51,850
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"何塞·穆里尼奥"，概率为 44%，其次是"尤尔根·克洛普"，概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 44¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"已产生 $51.8K 的总交易量（自Feb 17, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"的当前领先者是"何塞·穆里尼奥"，概率为 44%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 44%。紧随其后的结果是"尤尔根·克洛普"，概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任皇家马德里主帅？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。