Trump's late May endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as the "America First" candidate has driven trader consensus toward his 78.5% implied probability in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada's open 2nd Congressional District seat. Flippo, who switched districts after an earlier run, has consolidated MAGA-aligned support in the race to replace retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, holds 19.0% as the establishment alternative with legislative and state government experience. The remaining dozen candidates, including Fred Simon, trail below 2% each, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational strength ahead of primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于NV-02 Republican Primary Winner
NV-02 Republican Primary Winner
David Flippo 81%
James Settelmeyer 16%
George Forbush 1.2%
Fred Simon <1%
$21,598 交易量
$21,598 交易量
2026-06-09
David Flippo
81%
James Settelmeyer
16%
George Forbush
1%
Fred Simon
1%
Tom Doyle
1%
Rick Shepherd
1%
Sherman Tylawsky
<1%
Jennifer Billat
<1%
Jesse Watts
<1%
Bruce Grego
<1%
Jerry Olsen
<1%
Bill Conrad
<1%
Doug Miller
<1%
Andrea Lowe
<1%
Mike Smith
<1%
David Flippo 81%
James Settelmeyer 16%
George Forbush 1.2%
Fred Simon <1%
$21,598 交易量
$21,598 交易量
2026-06-09
David Flippo
$5,656 交易量
81%
James Settelmeyer
$3,729 交易量
16%
George Forbush
$848 交易量
1%
Fred Simon
$1,281 交易量
1%
Tom Doyle
$1,457 交易量
1%
Rick Shepherd
$849 交易量
1%
Sherman Tylawsky
$885 交易量
<1%
Jennifer Billat
$1,097 交易量
<1%
Jesse Watts
$819 交易量
<1%
Bruce Grego
$690 交易量
<1%
Jerry Olsen
$814 交易量
<1%
Bill Conrad
$836 交易量
<1%
Doug Miller
$786 交易量
<1%
Andrea Lowe
$835 交易量
<1%
Mike Smith
$1,016 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's late May endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as the "America First" candidate has driven trader consensus toward his 78.5% implied probability in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada's open 2nd Congressional District seat. Flippo, who switched districts after an earlier run, has consolidated MAGA-aligned support in the race to replace retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, holds 19.0% as the establishment alternative with legislative and state government experience. The remaining dozen candidates, including Fred Simon, trail below 2% each, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational strength ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
交易量
$21,598结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's late May endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as the "America First" candidate has driven trader consensus toward his 78.5% implied probability in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada's open 2nd Congressional District seat. Flippo, who switched districts after an earlier run, has consolidated MAGA-aligned support in the race to replace retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, holds 19.0% as the establishment alternative with legislative and state government experience. The remaining dozen candidates, including Fred Simon, trail below 2% each, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational strength ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,598结束日期
2026-06-09市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's late May endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as the "America First" candidate has driven trader consensus toward his 78.5% implied probability in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada's open 2nd Congressional District seat. Flippo, who switched districts after an earlier run, has consolidated MAGA-aligned support in the race to replace retiring Rep. Mark Amodei. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, holds 19.0% as the establishment alternative with legislative and state government experience. The remaining dozen candidates, including Fred Simon, trail below 2% each, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational strength ahead of primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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