Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained strength in the Bloomberg x Subdial Patek Philippe Watch Index, a benchmark tracking secondary market prices for the brand's 50 most-traded models by transaction value, which hovered near $100,000 equivalent (£79,600) through late April 2026. Patek led luxury watch gains in February's index update, driven by top-tier models like the Nautilus Perpetual Calendar amid a broader gray market recovery to two-year highs in January, fueled by resilient high-net-worth demand and retail price adjustments up to 8% in select regions. March data showed Patek up 1.2% while the overall market flattened, with Watches & Wonders releases in mid-April providing a final demand catalyst ahead of the April 30 deadline; trading volume exceeded $80,000 across strike levels, underscoring skin-in-the-game positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$83,802 交易量
2026-04-30
↑ $112,000
否
↑ 109,000美元
否
↑ 108,000美元
否
↑ $107,000
是
↑ $106,500
是
↑ 106,000美元
是
↓ $105,000
是
↓ 104,000美元
是
↓ $103,000
是
$83,802 交易量
↑ $112,000
$32,597 交易量
否
↑ 109,000美元
$6,252 交易量
否
↑ 108,000美元
$3,386 交易量
否
↑ $107,000
$13,122 交易量
是
↑ $106,500
$8,796 交易量
是
↑ 106,000美元
$4,287 交易量
是
↓ $105,000
$1,257 交易量
是
↓ 104,000美元
$5,370 交易量
是
↓ $103,000
$8,735 交易量
是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained strength in the Bloomberg x Subdial Patek Philippe Watch Index, a benchmark tracking secondary market prices for the brand's 50 most-traded models by transaction value, which hovered near $100,000 equivalent (£79,600) through late April 2026. Patek led luxury watch gains in February's index update, driven by top-tier models like the Nautilus Perpetual Calendar amid a broader gray market recovery to two-year highs in January, fueled by resilient high-net-worth demand and retail price adjustments up to 8% in select regions. March data showed Patek up 1.2% while the overall market flattened, with Watches & Wonders releases in mid-April providing a final demand catalyst ahead of the April 30 deadline; trading volume exceeded $80,000 across strike levels, underscoring skin-in-the-game positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$83,802结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained strength in the Bloomberg x Subdial Patek Philippe Watch Index, a benchmark tracking secondary market prices for the brand's 50 most-traded models by transaction value, which hovered near $100,000 equivalent (£79,600) through late April 2026. Patek led luxury watch gains in February's index update, driven by top-tier models like the Nautilus Perpetual Calendar amid a broader gray market recovery to two-year highs in January, fueled by resilient high-net-worth demand and retail price adjustments up to 8% in select regions. March data showed Patek up 1.2% while the overall market flattened, with Watches & Wonders releases in mid-April providing a final demand catalyst ahead of the April 30 deadline; trading volume exceeded $80,000 across strike levels, underscoring skin-in-the-game positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Patek Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Patek chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
交易量
$83,802结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained strength in the Bloomberg x Subdial Patek Philippe Watch Index, a benchmark tracking secondary market prices for the brand's 50 most-traded models by transaction value, which hovered near $100,000 equivalent (£79,600) through late April 2026. Patek led luxury watch gains in February's index update, driven by top-tier models like the Nautilus Perpetual Calendar amid a broader gray market recovery to two-year highs in January, fueled by resilient high-net-worth demand and retail price adjustments up to 8% in select regions. March data showed Patek up 1.2% while the overall market flattened, with Watches & Wonders releases in mid-April providing a final demand catalyst ahead of the April 30 deadline; trading volume exceeded $80,000 across strike levels, underscoring skin-in-the-game positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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