The tight clustering of probabilities for Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Erling Haaland, and Jamal Musiala reflects their status as elite attackers from nations projected to advance deep into the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout stages. Spain's attacking depth and Yamal's creative flair from wide areas position him narrowly ahead despite a recent hamstring issue limiting early training, while Mbappé's proven tournament pedigree and France's depth sustain his strong implied probability. Kane and Musiala benefit from England's and Germany's consistent progression paths, and Haaland's finishing threat anchors Norway's chances. Limited early group-stage results have kept form-based shifts minimal, leaving historical output, squad roles, and fixture difficulty as the dominant factors in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harry Kane 23%
Kylian Mbappé 22%
Lamine Yamal 18%
Erling Haaland 17%
$41,250 交易量
$41,250 交易量
Harry Kane
19%
Kylian Mbappé
22%
Lamine Yamal
24%
Erling Haaland
17%
Jamal Musiala
15%
Frantzdy Pierrot
10%
Raphinha
8%
Christian Pulisic
7%
Santiago Giménez
5%
Rafael Leão
4%
Cody Gakpo
4%
Arda Güler
4%
Sadio Mané
4%
Lautaro Martínez
11%
Salem Al-Dawsari
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Granit Xhaka
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Enner Valencia
1%
Son Heung-min
1%
Riyad Mahrez
1%
Luis Díaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Julio Enciso
1%
Mohammed Kudus
1%
Ermedin Demirović
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Hannibal Mejbri
<1%
Kaoru Mitoma
<1%
Lyle Foster
<1%
Jonathan David
<1%
Ondřej Duda
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Ismael Díaz
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Musa Al-Taamari
<1%
Mehdi Taremi
<1%
Akram Afif
<1%
Aymen Hussein
<1%
Christoph Baumgartner
<1%
Cédric Bakambu
<1%
Youssef En-Nesyri
<1%
Chris Wood
<1%
Eldor Shomurodov
<1%
Martin Boyle
<1%
Julio Tavares
<1%
Leandro Bacuna
<1%
Sébastien Haller
<1%
Harry Kane 23%
Kylian Mbappé 22%
Lamine Yamal 18%
Erling Haaland 17%
$41,250 交易量
$41,250 交易量
Harry Kane
19%
Kylian Mbappé
22%
Lamine Yamal
24%
Erling Haaland
17%
Jamal Musiala
15%
Frantzdy Pierrot
10%
Raphinha
8%
Christian Pulisic
7%
Santiago Giménez
5%
Rafael Leão
4%
Cody Gakpo
4%
Arda Güler
4%
Sadio Mané
4%
Lautaro Martínez
11%
Salem Al-Dawsari
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Granit Xhaka
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Enner Valencia
1%
Son Heung-min
1%
Riyad Mahrez
1%
Luis Díaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Julio Enciso
1%
Mohammed Kudus
1%
Ermedin Demirović
<1%
Viktor Gyökeres
<1%
Hannibal Mejbri
<1%
Kaoru Mitoma
<1%
Lyle Foster
<1%
Jonathan David
<1%
Ondřej Duda
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Ismael Díaz
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Musa Al-Taamari
<1%
Mehdi Taremi
<1%
Akram Afif
<1%
Aymen Hussein
<1%
Christoph Baumgartner
<1%
Cédric Bakambu
<1%
Youssef En-Nesyri
<1%
Chris Wood
<1%
Eldor Shomurodov
<1%
Martin Boyle
<1%
Julio Tavares
<1%
Leandro Bacuna
<1%
Sébastien Haller
<1%
For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of probabilities for Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Harry Kane, Erling Haaland, and Jamal Musiala reflects their status as elite attackers from nations projected to advance deep into the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout stages. Spain's attacking depth and Yamal's creative flair from wide areas position him narrowly ahead despite a recent hamstring issue limiting early training, while Mbappé's proven tournament pedigree and France's depth sustain his strong implied probability. Kane and Musiala benefit from England's and Germany's consistent progression paths, and Haaland's finishing threat anchors Norway's chances. Limited early group-stage results have kept form-based shifts minimal, leaving historical output, squad roles, and fixture difficulty as the dominant factors in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题