US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

22%

概率

Yes

最新

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

10%

概率

Yes

最新

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

24%

概率

Yes

最新

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Oil Sanction Relief

19%

Yes19%No81%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

16%

Yes16%No84%

Oil Sanction Relief

19%

Yes19%No81%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

16%

Yes16%No84%

最新

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Yes

最新

詹姆斯·科米（ James Comey ）是否会在5月15日前 card icon

詹姆斯·科米会在5月15日之前离开美国吗？

是

否

最新

科米会在周五前再次在Substack上发布视频信息吗？

28%

是

否

最新

科米会在星期五之前侮辱特朗普吗？

24%

是

否

最新

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

61%

概率

Yes

最新

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change

55%

Yes55%No45%

25 bps increase

47%

Yes47%No53%

No change

55%

Yes55%No45%

25 bps increase

47%

Yes47%No53%

最新

Airbnb Nights and Seats Booked above ___ in Q1?

150 million

57%

Yes57%No43%

155 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

150 million

57%

Yes57%No43%

155 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

最新

Marriott Total Rooms above ___ in Q1?

1.78 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

1.80 million

Yes99%No1%

1.78 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

1.80 million

Yes99%No1%

最新

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

13.6 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

13.8 million

50%

Yes50%No50%

13.6 million

51%

Yes51%No49%

13.8 million

50%

Yes50%No50%

最新

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

50%

概率

Yes

最新

OPEC Crude Oil production above __ in May?

19 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

20 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

19 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

20 Million

42%

Yes42%No58%

最新

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

3,400

Yes99%No1%

3,500

51%

Yes51%No49%

3,400

Yes99%No1%

3,500

51%

Yes51%No49%

最新

Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

Kirk Cousins

70%

Yes70%No30%

Fernando Mendoza

39%

Yes39%No61%

Kirk Cousins

70%

Yes70%No30%

Fernando Mendoza

39%

Yes39%No61%

最新

MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

34%

概率

Yes

最新

Pro Football: Will Diego Pavia be rostered by Week 1?

26%

概率

Yes

最新

MLB: Team to win 100+ games

Los Angeles Dodgers

62%

Yes62%No38%

New York Yankees

52%

Yes52%No48%

Los Angeles Dodgers

62%

Yes62%No38%

New York Yankees

52%

Yes52%No48%

最新