Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 Women’s US Open winner market on the back of a dominant hard-court season, including three titles and a 31-4 record that reflects superior baseline power and serve consistency on the surface. Recent results show her edging past early clay inconsistencies after a Roland Garros quarterfinal exit, while Iga Swiatek’s fourth-round loss there and title drought have tempered expectations despite her strong overall ranking. Elena Rybakina sits third after claiming the Australian Open title and posting steady results across surfaces, highlighting the depth among contenders. Coco Gauff, Mirra Andreeva, and Amanda Anisimova round out the next tier with varying hard-court experience and recent form, but the broad field underscores how injuries, draw positioning, and late-summer momentum can shift outcomes on the fast New York courts. Trader consensus captures this balance of proven hard-court track records against emerging volatility.