Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.1% after downward revisions to prior months, anchors trader positioning for the August release. Labor force participation fell to 61.4% amid subdued hiring, while broader U-6 measures held steady, signaling softening demand rather than outright recessionary pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1% and 4.2% because incoming indicators, including initial claims and regional Fed surveys, point to continued moderation but lack decisive momentum for a larger move. The September 4 release will resolve amid ongoing FOMC monitoring of labor-market slack versus persistent inflation readings, with traders weighing base-rate stability near 4% against risks of further participation declines or modest reacceleration in hiring.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.1% 35%
4.2% 27%
4.0% 20%
4.3% 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
2%
3.9%
2%
4.0%
20%
4.1%
35%
4.2%
27%
4.3%
13%
4.4%
6%
4.5%
4%
≥4.6%
2%
4.1% 35%
4.2% 27%
4.0% 20%
4.3% 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
$90 Vol.
2%
3.9%
$92 Vol.
2%
4.0%
$429 Vol.
20%
4.1%
$2,189 Vol.
35%
4.2%
$808 Vol.
27%
4.3%
$369 Vol.
13%
4.4%
$113 Vol.
6%
4.5%
$112 Vol.
4%
≥4.6%
$92 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.1% after downward revisions to prior months, anchors trader positioning for the August release. Labor force participation fell to 61.4% amid subdued hiring, while broader U-6 measures held steady, signaling softening demand rather than outright recessionary pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1% and 4.2% because incoming indicators, including initial claims and regional Fed surveys, point to continued moderation but lack decisive momentum for a larger move. The September 4 release will resolve amid ongoing FOMC monitoring of labor-market slack versus persistent inflation readings, with traders weighing base-rate stability near 4% against risks of further participation declines or modest reacceleration in hiring.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,294শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.1% after downward revisions to prior months, anchors trader positioning for the August release. Labor force participation fell to 61.4% amid subdued hiring, while broader U-6 measures held steady, signaling softening demand rather than outright recessionary pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1% and 4.2% because incoming indicators, including initial claims and regional Fed surveys, point to continued moderation but lack decisive momentum for a larger move. The September 4 release will resolve amid ongoing FOMC monitoring of labor-market slack versus persistent inflation readings, with traders weighing base-rate stability near 4% against risks of further participation declines or modest reacceleration in hiring.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ভলিউম
$4,294শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 employment data, showing nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 with the unemployment rate at 4.1% after downward revisions to prior months, anchors trader positioning for the August release. Labor force participation fell to 61.4% amid subdued hiring, while broader U-6 measures held steady, signaling softening demand rather than outright recessionary pressures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.1% and 4.2% because incoming indicators, including initial claims and regional Fed surveys, point to continued moderation but lack decisive momentum for a larger move. The September 4 release will resolve amid ongoing FOMC monitoring of labor-market slack versus persistent inflation readings, with traders weighing base-rate stability near 4% against risks of further participation declines or modest reacceleration in hiring.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা