Recent polling from institutes including Genial/Quaest, DataTrends, and IDEIA shows a technical tie or narrow margins between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in first- and second-round scenarios, consistent with the race’s status as a 2022 rematch. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and government approval ratings above 50 percent, while Neto draws on urban support in Salvador and prior name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the contest between the two frontrunners. The closeness stems from polarized voter bases, undecided voters near 10–13 percent, and limited recent shifts in preferences. Developments that could widen gaps include campaign launch impacts, upcoming debates, alliance consolidations ahead of the October 4 first round, regional turnout patterns, or late economic or federal political signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJerônimo Rodrigues 54%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$117,778 Vol.
$117,778 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
54%
ACM Neto
46%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 54%
ACM Neto 46%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$117,778 Vol.
$117,778 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$37,582 Vol.
54%
ACM Neto
$40,246 Vol.
46%
Kleber Rosa
$12,792 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$10,899 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Genial/Quaest, DataTrends, and IDEIA shows a technical tie or narrow margins between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in first- and second-round scenarios, consistent with the race’s status as a 2022 rematch. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and government approval ratings above 50 percent, while Neto draws on urban support in Salvador and prior name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the contest between the two frontrunners. The closeness stems from polarized voter bases, undecided voters near 10–13 percent, and limited recent shifts in preferences. Developments that could widen gaps include campaign launch impacts, upcoming debates, alliance consolidations ahead of the October 4 first round, regional turnout patterns, or late economic or federal political signals.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,778শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Genial/Quaest, DataTrends, and IDEIA shows a technical tie or narrow margins between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in first- and second-round scenarios, consistent with the race’s status as a 2022 rematch. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and government approval ratings above 50 percent, while Neto draws on urban support in Salvador and prior name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the contest between the two frontrunners. The closeness stems from polarized voter bases, undecided voters near 10–13 percent, and limited recent shifts in preferences. Developments that could widen gaps include campaign launch impacts, upcoming debates, alliance consolidations ahead of the October 4 first round, regional turnout patterns, or late economic or federal political signals.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$117,778শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Genial/Quaest, DataTrends, and IDEIA shows a technical tie or narrow margins between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in first- and second-round scenarios, consistent with the race’s status as a 2022 rematch. Rodrigues benefits from incumbency and government approval ratings above 50 percent, while Neto draws on urban support in Salvador and prior name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the contest between the two frontrunners. The closeness stems from polarized voter bases, undecided voters near 10–13 percent, and limited recent shifts in preferences. Developments that could widen gaps include campaign launch impacts, upcoming debates, alliance consolidations ahead of the October 4 first round, regional turnout patterns, or late economic or federal political signals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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