Ciro Gomes holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first round. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel releases in mid-August, show Ciro ahead by 5–19 points in first-round scenarios and wider margins in projected runoffs, reflecting his consolidated opposition coalition that includes the PL, União Brasil, and PP under the “Unir para Mudar” banner. Elmano, seeking reelection after winning in 2022, trails amid these shifts, while minor candidates like Eduardo Girão remain marginal. The market’s implied probabilities track these polling trends and coalition dynamics in a race that could still see late adjustments before voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$170,747 Vol.
$170,747 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
65%
Elmano de Freitas
35%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 65%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$170,747 Vol.
$170,747 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$85,296 Vol.
65%
Elmano de Freitas
$33,503 Vol.
35%
Eduardo Girão
$13,613 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$13,098 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$12,042 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$13,194 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first round. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel releases in mid-August, show Ciro ahead by 5–19 points in first-round scenarios and wider margins in projected runoffs, reflecting his consolidated opposition coalition that includes the PL, União Brasil, and PP under the “Unir para Mudar” banner. Elmano, seeking reelection after winning in 2022, trails amid these shifts, while minor candidates like Eduardo Girão remain marginal. The market’s implied probabilities track these polling trends and coalition dynamics in a race that could still see late adjustments before voting.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ভলিউম
$170,747শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first round. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel releases in mid-August, show Ciro ahead by 5–19 points in first-round scenarios and wider margins in projected runoffs, reflecting his consolidated opposition coalition that includes the PL, União Brasil, and PP under the “Unir para Mudar” banner. Elmano, seeking reelection after winning in 2022, trails amid these shifts, while minor candidates like Eduardo Girão remain marginal. The market’s implied probabilities track these polling trends and coalition dynamics in a race that could still see late adjustments before voting.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$170,747শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4 first round. Multiple recent surveys, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel releases in mid-August, show Ciro ahead by 5–19 points in first-round scenarios and wider margins in projected runoffs, reflecting his consolidated opposition coalition that includes the PL, União Brasil, and PP under the “Unir para Mudar” banner. Elmano, seeking reelection after winning in 2022, trails amid these shifts, while minor candidates like Eduardo Girão remain marginal. The market’s implied probabilities track these polling trends and coalition dynamics in a race that could still see late adjustments before voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা