Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a 60% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling and structural advantages from state resources and interior support. João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor and main challenger, sits at 35.5%, buoyed by strong metropolitan backing and name recognition but trailing in most surveys. Late August and early September Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showed the pair in a technical first-round tie near 43-47%, with Lyra often ahead in runoff simulations. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing negative exchanges over campaign tactics unlikely to shift the narrow contest decisively before election day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRaquel Lyra 60%
João Campos 36%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$49,065 Vol.
$49,065 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
60%
João Campos
36%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 60%
João Campos 36%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$49,065 Vol.
$49,065 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$23,023 Vol.
60%
João Campos
$20,683 Vol.
36%
Ivan Moraes
$5,359 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a 60% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling and structural advantages from state resources and interior support. João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor and main challenger, sits at 35.5%, buoyed by strong metropolitan backing and name recognition but trailing in most surveys. Late August and early September Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showed the pair in a technical first-round tie near 43-47%, with Lyra often ahead in runoff simulations. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing negative exchanges over campaign tactics unlikely to shift the narrow contest decisively before election day.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$49,065শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a 60% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling and structural advantages from state resources and interior support. João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor and main challenger, sits at 35.5%, buoyed by strong metropolitan backing and name recognition but trailing in most surveys. Late August and early September Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showed the pair in a technical first-round tie near 43-47%, with Lyra often ahead in runoff simulations. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing negative exchanges over campaign tactics unlikely to shift the narrow contest decisively before election day.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$49,065শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, holds a 60% implied probability on Polymarket as the frontrunner, reflecting her consistent edge in recent polling and structural advantages from state resources and interior support. João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor and main challenger, sits at 35.5%, buoyed by strong metropolitan backing and name recognition but trailing in most surveys. Late August and early September Datafolha and Real Time Big Data polls showed the pair in a technical first-round tie near 43-47%, with Lyra often ahead in runoff simulations. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with ongoing negative exchanges over campaign tactics unlikely to shift the narrow contest decisively before election day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা