**Recent Berlin polls show Die Linke consistently ahead of Bündnis 90/Die Grünen by 2–5 points in the run-up to the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election.** Aggregated surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey place Linke at 19–22% and Grüne at 16–19%, with Linke leading or tied for first among the four main contenders alongside CDU and AfD. This represents a substantial rise for Linke from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, while Grüne has remained roughly stable or edged slightly lower from 18.4%. Linke’s gains stem from sustained emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls—issues that resonate strongly in Berlin—combined with robust membership growth that has made it the city’s largest party by membership. Grüne support has shown limited momentum amid the tight four-way race. The resulting polling gap underpins the market’s 81.5% probability that Linke will receive more votes than Grüne, reflecting trader assessment of the current trajectory one month before election day. Outcomes remain subject to final turnout and campaign developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLinke
82% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 20, 2026
Linke
82% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent Berlin polls show Die Linke consistently ahead of Bündnis 90/Die Grünen by 2–5 points in the run-up to the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election.** Aggregated surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey place Linke at 19–22% and Grüne at 16–19%, with Linke leading or tied for first among the four main contenders alongside CDU and AfD. This represents a substantial rise for Linke from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, while Grüne has remained roughly stable or edged slightly lower from 18.4%.
Linke’s gains stem from sustained emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls—issues that resonate strongly in Berlin—combined with robust membership growth that has made it the city’s largest party by membership. Grüne support has shown limited momentum amid the tight four-way race. The resulting polling gap underpins the market’s 81.5% probability that Linke will receive more votes than Grüne, reflecting trader assessment of the current trajectory one month before election day. Outcomes remain subject to final turnout and campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,276শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent Berlin polls show Die Linke consistently ahead of Bündnis 90/Die Grünen by 2–5 points in the run-up to the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election.** Aggregated surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey place Linke at 19–22% and Grüne at 16–19%, with Linke leading or tied for first among the four main contenders alongside CDU and AfD. This represents a substantial rise for Linke from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, while Grüne has remained roughly stable or edged slightly lower from 18.4%.
Linke’s gains stem from sustained emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls—issues that resonate strongly in Berlin—combined with robust membership growth that has made it the city’s largest party by membership. Grüne support has shown limited momentum amid the tight four-way race. The resulting polling gap underpins the market’s 81.5% probability that Linke will receive more votes than Grüne, reflecting trader assessment of the current trajectory one month before election day. Outcomes remain subject to final turnout and campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ভলিউম
$1,276শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent Berlin polls show Die Linke consistently ahead of Bündnis 90/Die Grünen by 2–5 points in the run-up to the September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election.** Aggregated surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey place Linke at 19–22% and Grüne at 16–19%, with Linke leading or tied for first among the four main contenders alongside CDU and AfD. This represents a substantial rise for Linke from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat election, while Grüne has remained roughly stable or edged slightly lower from 18.4%. Linke’s gains stem from sustained emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls—issues that resonate strongly in Berlin—combined with robust membership growth that has made it the city’s largest party by membership. Grüne support has shown limited momentum amid the tight four-way race. The resulting polling gap underpins the market’s 81.5% probability that Linke will receive more votes than Grüne, reflecting trader assessment of the current trajectory one month before election day. Outcomes remain subject to final turnout and campaign developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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