Trader consensus favors the CDU with 57.5% implied probability as the leading party in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by its consistent polling edge in the fragmented field. The latest INSA survey through April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of SPD and AfD tied at 17%, and Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, with BSW at 4%, FDP at 3%, and others at 8%. This maintains CDU's incumbency advantage under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner despite a slight recent dip from 22-23%, as opposition remains split without a clear challenger surging. The current CDU-SPD coalition projects below majority, signaling likely three-party coalitions post-election, but stable Sonntagsfragen reinforce CDU's position as top vote-getter.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডবার্লিন রাজ্য নির্বাচন বিজয়ী
বার্লিন রাজ্য নির্বাচন বিজয়ী
CDU 57%
গ্রüne 15.3%
লিঙ্কে 12%
আফডি 9.7%
$2,573,825 Vol.
$2,573,825 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
57%
গ্রüne
15%
লিঙ্কে
12%
আফডি
10%
এসপিডি
7%
বিএসডব্লিউ
1%
এফডিপি
<1%
এফডাব্লিউ
<1%
CDU 57%
গ্রüne 15.3%
লিঙ্কে 12%
আফডি 9.7%
$2,573,825 Vol.
$2,573,825 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$15,416 Vol.
57%
গ্রüne
$27,955 Vol.
15%
লিঙ্কে
$11,660 Vol.
12%
আফডি
$2,187,478 Vol.
10%
এসপিডি
$287,435 Vol.
7%
বিএসডব্লিউ
$26,369 Vol.
1%
এফডিপি
$10,379 Vol.
<1%
এফডাব্লিউ
$7,131 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU with 57.5% implied probability as the leading party in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by its consistent polling edge in the fragmented field. The latest INSA survey through April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of SPD and AfD tied at 17%, and Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, with BSW at 4%, FDP at 3%, and others at 8%. This maintains CDU's incumbency advantage under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner despite a slight recent dip from 22-23%, as opposition remains split without a clear challenger surging. The current CDU-SPD coalition projects below majority, signaling likely three-party coalitions post-election, but stable Sonntagsfragen reinforce CDU's position as top vote-getter.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,573,825শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU with 57.5% implied probability as the leading party in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by its consistent polling edge in the fragmented field. The latest INSA survey through April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of SPD and AfD tied at 17%, and Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, with BSW at 4%, FDP at 3%, and others at 8%. This maintains CDU's incumbency advantage under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner despite a slight recent dip from 22-23%, as opposition remains split without a clear challenger surging. The current CDU-SPD coalition projects below majority, signaling likely three-party coalitions post-election, but stable Sonntagsfragen reinforce CDU's position as top vote-getter.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ভলিউম
$2,573,825শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the CDU with 57.5% implied probability as the leading party in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, driven by its consistent polling edge in the fragmented field. The latest INSA survey through April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of SPD and AfD tied at 17%, and Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, with BSW at 4%, FDP at 3%, and others at 8%. This maintains CDU's incumbency advantage under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner despite a slight recent dip from 22-23%, as opposition remains split without a clear challenger surging. The current CDU-SPD coalition projects below majority, signaling likely three-party coalitions post-election, but stable Sonntagsfragen reinforce CDU's position as top vote-getter.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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