The Richmond riding in Quebec’s October 5, 2026, general election features an open seat previously held by the CAQ, with a fragmented field of major-party candidates including Bernard Sévigny for the PQ, Guillaume Rousseau for the CAQ, Hugo Fontaine for the Liberals, Dominic Bouffard for the Conservatives, and David Poulin-Latulippe for Québec solidaire. Recent candidate announcements and August polling aggregates show a toss-up environment driven by divided regional support, shifting provincial party standings, and the absence of an incumbent advantage, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered. Local factors such as voter turnout patterns in the Estrie area and any late-campaign developments in the final weeks could produce separation among the contenders ahead of election night.