The wide dispersion of probabilities across dozens of potential Democratic contenders for the 2028 presidential nomination reflects the open contest more than two years before primaries begin, with no candidate consolidating broad support. Trader consensus places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom at the front but each below 20 percent, underscoring uncertainty in an environment shaped by post-2024 election rebuilding, fundraising trajectories, and positioning on issues such as the economy, immigration, and healthcare. Recent state-level races and early endorsements have yet to create clear separation, while historical patterns show early betting markets often shift with midterm outcomes, national polling averages, and formal candidate entries. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 Senate and gubernatorial results that could elevate or sideline figures like Josh Shapiro or Pete Buttigieg.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGavin Newsom campaigns in South Carolina, signaling 2028 presidential ambitions
Gavin Newsom dips to 14%1%
Newsom's visit to South Carolina, the first primary state for Democrats in 2028, was seen as exploratory for a presidential run, but his market odds continued to decline amid growing competition, ending near 14%.
Jon Ossoff launches new Senate ad campaign amid re-election battle
Jon Ossoff rises to 16%1%
Ossoff released new ads targeting his Republican opponent, highlighting policy differences and increasing campaign visibility during a competitive 2026 Senate race.
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