Trader consensus prices Republicans at 59.5% to win Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Ashley Hinson's narrow leads over Democratic primary contenders state Rep. Josh Turek (47%-43%) and state Sen. Zach Wahls (47%-44%) in a March GBAO poll of likely voters released last week. This positioning stems from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate, with recent voter registration gains of over 350 for the GOP in March-April, and a generic ballot edge (Republicans 46%, Democrats 44%). Turek's first TV ad launch on April 17 highlighting Medicaid concerns signals Democratic aggression, but the unresolved June 2 primary—where Republicans reportedly favor the more moderate Wahls—keeps the race competitive yet tilted toward the GOP baseline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$105,172 Vol.
$105,172 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
60%
Democrat
40%
$105,172 Vol.
$105,172 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$48,852 Vol.
60%
Democrat
$56,320 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans at 59.5% to win Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Ashley Hinson's narrow leads over Democratic primary contenders state Rep. Josh Turek (47%-43%) and state Sen. Zach Wahls (47%-44%) in a March GBAO poll of likely voters released last week. This positioning stems from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate, with recent voter registration gains of over 350 for the GOP in March-April, and a generic ballot edge (Republicans 46%, Democrats 44%). Turek's first TV ad launch on April 17 highlighting Medicaid concerns signals Democratic aggression, but the unresolved June 2 primary—where Republicans reportedly favor the more moderate Wahls—keeps the race competitive yet tilted toward the GOP baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$105,172শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans at 59.5% to win Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Ashley Hinson's narrow leads over Democratic primary contenders state Rep. Josh Turek (47%-43%) and state Sen. Zach Wahls (47%-44%) in a March GBAO poll of likely voters released last week. This positioning stems from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate, with recent voter registration gains of over 350 for the GOP in March-April, and a generic ballot edge (Republicans 46%, Democrats 44%). Turek's first TV ad launch on April 17 highlighting Medicaid concerns signals Democratic aggression, but the unresolved June 2 primary—where Republicans reportedly favor the more moderate Wahls—keeps the race competitive yet tilted toward the GOP baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$105,172শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republicans at 59.5% to win Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, reflecting Rep. Ashley Hinson's narrow leads over Democratic primary contenders state Rep. Josh Turek (47%-43%) and state Sen. Zach Wahls (47%-44%) in a March GBAO poll of likely voters released last week. This positioning stems from Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate, with recent voter registration gains of over 350 for the GOP in March-April, and a generic ballot edge (Republicans 46%, Democrats 44%). Turek's first TV ad launch on April 17 highlighting Medicaid concerns signals Democratic aggression, but the unresolved June 2 primary—where Republicans reportedly favor the more moderate Wahls—keeps the race competitive yet tilted toward the GOP baseline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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