Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3. Early polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic contenders by modest margins in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index, consistent with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest safe or solid Republican. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and others, has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of overcoming Kansas' structural Republican advantage and Marshall's incumbency. Limited recent polling and fundraising data reinforce trader consensus around an 80% Republican probability, though the August primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could still influence the November result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$30,220 Vol.
$30,220 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
19%
$30,220 Vol.
$30,220 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$18,634 Vol.
81%
Democrat
$11,587 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3. Early polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic contenders by modest margins in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index, consistent with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest safe or solid Republican. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and others, has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of overcoming Kansas' structural Republican advantage and Marshall's incumbency. Limited recent polling and fundraising data reinforce trader consensus around an 80% Republican probability, though the August primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could still influence the November result.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$30,220শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3. Early polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic contenders by modest margins in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index, consistent with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest safe or solid Republican. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and others, has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of overcoming Kansas' structural Republican advantage and Marshall's incumbency. Limited recent polling and fundraising data reinforce trader consensus around an 80% Republican probability, though the August primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could still influence the November result.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$30,220শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas Senate race, with primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3. Early polling shows Marshall ahead of Democratic contenders by modest margins in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index, consistent with nonpartisan ratings labeling the contest safe or solid Republican. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and others, has yet to produce a consensus challenger capable of overcoming Kansas' structural Republican advantage and Marshall's incumbency. Limited recent polling and fundraising data reinforce trader consensus around an 80% Republican probability, though the August primary outcomes and any late-cycle shifts in voter turnout or national conditions could still influence the November result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা