The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, launched after the August 27 dissolution for the October 5 vote, has kept the Laurier-Dorion race tight among frontrunners in a Montreal riding with a diverse electorate. Incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire holds a narrow edge in trader pricing, closely trailed by Conservateur candidate Derek Lefebvre, while Liberal Randy Legault-Rankin, PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, and CAQ's Emil Parfyonov remain competitive factors. Models from late August projected QS with a modest advantage based on 2022 results transposed to new boundaries, yet market consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout, immigration and housing messaging, and provincial swings that could fragment support. Upcoming nomination deadlines on September 17 and early campaign events may shift probabilities if they clarify voter blocs or highlight local contrasts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAndrés Fontecilla 44%
Randy Legault-Rankin 38%
Derek Lefebvre 38%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega 28%
Andrés Fontecilla
44%
Randy Legault-Rankin
38%
Derek Lefebvre
38%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega
28%
Emil Parfyonov
25%
Andrés Fontecilla 44%
Randy Legault-Rankin 38%
Derek Lefebvre 38%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega 28%
Andrés Fontecilla
44%
Randy Legault-Rankin
38%
Derek Lefebvre
38%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega
28%
Emil Parfyonov
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election campaign, launched after the August 27 dissolution for the October 5 vote, has kept the Laurier-Dorion race tight among frontrunners in a Montreal riding with a diverse electorate. Incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire holds a narrow edge in trader pricing, closely trailed by Conservateur candidate Derek Lefebvre, while Liberal Randy Legault-Rankin, PQ's Kelly Lazo de la Vega, and CAQ's Emil Parfyonov remain competitive factors. Models from late August projected QS with a modest advantage based on 2022 results transposed to new boundaries, yet market consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout, immigration and housing messaging, and provincial swings that could fragment support. Upcoming nomination deadlines on September 17 and early campaign events may shift probabilities if they clarify voter blocs or highlight local contrasts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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