Recent nonpartisan forecasts have shifted Alaska, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and Michigan into toss-up or near-toss-up territory, with narrow polling averages and recent candidate matchups driving trader consensus on these states for the closest 2026 Senate contests. In Ohio’s special election, former Senator Sherrod Brown’s rematch against appointed incumbent Jon Husted features strong fundraising and endorsements on both sides. Maine’s Susan Collins faces a competitive challenge in a state with a Democratic lean, while Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst and Michigan’s open Democratic seat attract establishment versus progressive dynamics. Texas has tightened after its Republican primary. Late polling shifts, campaign spending, and national generic ballot trends could still separate these races before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOhio (Special) 17.0%
Maine 17%
Iowa 16.4%
Texas 15%
$26,184 Vol.
$26,184 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio (Special)
17%
Maine
17%
Iowa
16%
Texas
15%
Alaska
13%
Michigan
9%
Nebraska
6%
Florida (Special)
3%
New Mexico
3%
Virginia
2%
Colorado
2%
North Carolina
2%
Georgia
2%
New Hampshire
2%
Minnesota
<1%
Montana
<1%
Ohio (Special) 17.0%
Maine 17%
Iowa 16.4%
Texas 15%
$26,184 Vol.
$26,184 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio (Special)
$4,744 Vol.
17%
Maine
$465 Vol.
17%
Iowa
$2,616 Vol.
16%
Texas
$705 Vol.
15%
Alaska
$5,108 Vol.
13%
Michigan
$2,246 Vol.
9%
Nebraska
$275 Vol.
6%
Florida (Special)
$244 Vol.
3%
New Mexico
$160 Vol.
3%
Virginia
$5,073 Vol.
2%
Colorado
$662 Vol.
2%
North Carolina
$621 Vol.
2%
Georgia
$752 Vol.
2%
New Hampshire
$485 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$1,456 Vol.
<1%
Montana
$571 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent nonpartisan forecasts have shifted Alaska, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and Michigan into toss-up or near-toss-up territory, with narrow polling averages and recent candidate matchups driving trader consensus on these states for the closest 2026 Senate contests. In Ohio’s special election, former Senator Sherrod Brown’s rematch against appointed incumbent Jon Husted features strong fundraising and endorsements on both sides. Maine’s Susan Collins faces a competitive challenge in a state with a Democratic lean, while Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst and Michigan’s open Democratic seat attract establishment versus progressive dynamics. Texas has tightened after its Republican primary. Late polling shifts, campaign spending, and national generic ballot trends could still separate these races before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$26,184শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent nonpartisan forecasts have shifted Alaska, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and Michigan into toss-up or near-toss-up territory, with narrow polling averages and recent candidate matchups driving trader consensus on these states for the closest 2026 Senate contests. In Ohio’s special election, former Senator Sherrod Brown’s rematch against appointed incumbent Jon Husted features strong fundraising and endorsements on both sides. Maine’s Susan Collins faces a competitive challenge in a state with a Democratic lean, while Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst and Michigan’s open Democratic seat attract establishment versus progressive dynamics. Texas has tightened after its Republican primary. Late polling shifts, campaign spending, and national generic ballot trends could still separate these races before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$26,184শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent nonpartisan forecasts have shifted Alaska, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and Michigan into toss-up or near-toss-up territory, with narrow polling averages and recent candidate matchups driving trader consensus on these states for the closest 2026 Senate contests. In Ohio’s special election, former Senator Sherrod Brown’s rematch against appointed incumbent Jon Husted features strong fundraising and endorsements on both sides. Maine’s Susan Collins faces a competitive challenge in a state with a Democratic lean, while Iowa’s open seat after Joni Ernst and Michigan’s open Democratic seat attract establishment versus progressive dynamics. Texas has tightened after its Republican primary. Late polling shifts, campaign spending, and national generic ballot trends could still separate these races before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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