Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices no change in ECB key interest rates, including the 2.00% deposit facility rate, at the April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, reflecting the Governing Council's March 19 decision to hold rates steady amid Eurozone inflation stabilizing near the 2% target. March flash data showed annual inflation rising modestly to 2.5% from 1.9%, driven by energy costs amid the Iran war, yet ECB officials lifted only their 2026 inflation outlook to 2.6% without signaling imminent hikes, prioritizing data-dependent caution. This commanding position stems from anchored inflation expectations and economists' forecasts deferring potential increases to mid-year. Upside risks like hotter-than-expected April data or renewed geopolitical energy shocks could prompt a reassessment, though low volumes on alternatives underscore limited near-term challenges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকোন পরিবর্তন নেই 97.2%
বৃদ্ধি 2.8%
৫০ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট হ্রাস <1%
$736,579 Vol.
$736,579 Vol.
৫০ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
<1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট হ্রাস
<1%
কোন পরিবর্তন নেই
97%
বৃদ্ধি
3%
কোন পরিবর্তন নেই 97.2%
বৃদ্ধি 2.8%
৫০ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট হ্রাস <1%
$736,579 Vol.
$736,579 Vol.
৫০ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
<1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট হ্রাস
<1%
কোন পরিবর্তন নেই
97%
বৃদ্ধি
3%
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices no change in ECB key interest rates, including the 2.00% deposit facility rate, at the April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, reflecting the Governing Council's March 19 decision to hold rates steady amid Eurozone inflation stabilizing near the 2% target. March flash data showed annual inflation rising modestly to 2.5% from 1.9%, driven by energy costs amid the Iran war, yet ECB officials lifted only their 2026 inflation outlook to 2.6% without signaling imminent hikes, prioritizing data-dependent caution. This commanding position stems from anchored inflation expectations and economists' forecasts deferring potential increases to mid-year. Upside risks like hotter-than-expected April data or renewed geopolitical energy shocks could prompt a reassessment, though low volumes on alternatives underscore limited near-term challenges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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